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Thoughts of Matsui....

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Postby voldude124 » Mon Mar 03, 2003 11:16 pm

So doesn anyone think .300-30-100 aren't realistic?
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Postby Absolutely Adequate » Tue Mar 04, 2003 12:20 am

I would think that a little lower, maybe .285, 25, 90 would be more realistic. One thing that worries me about Japanese players is that their season is so much shorter and I don't think there is as much conditioning. I'm always afraid of drafting them too high, in case they run out of steam like Ichiro last year.
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Postby THE MASHER » Tue Mar 04, 2003 10:23 am

Actually, the Japanese league conditions MUCH more than MLB. The work ethic is not only expected, it's demanded of the players (if you believe any of the stories that are told). The issue usually is a combo of things - the quality of Japanese pitching overall, shorter fences, more fastball oriented. I still think Matsui is going to be solid - prob. 25, 85 combo - not bad, but still overhyped.
Then in regards to the trade issue - NO WAY!! :-t It's never a good thing to trade RJ!!
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Postby rotisseriking » Tue Mar 04, 2003 12:28 pm

Agreed on the conditioning - I've heard that their requirements are very tough which makes them also mentally strong. I'd say a lower BA is expected his first season and will increase after that. I'll go

.280
25-30 HRs
80-90 RBIs

I'll probably bid around $15 on him.
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Postby trevisc » Tue Mar 04, 2003 1:37 pm

voldude124 wrote:So doesn anyone think .300-30-100 aren't realistic?


I think that's about right depending on where they bad him and the rbi opportunities he has.

i project higher numbers actually..the boy hit 40 or more for like the last 4 or 5 seasons in Japan where the ball is smaller.
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Matsui

Postby Balzak1 » Tue Mar 04, 2003 2:23 pm

On the court, people didn't think Yao Ming wouldn't transition very fast, or at all.

You can get Matsui so far down in the draft, it's a gamble worth taking. If he does half as good as he did in Japan, it wouldn't be different than any other mid-decent outfielder
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