colon..

[eemash]

what do you guys tihnk of colon and is getting called up. He hit 95 mph in his last AAA start. Can we count on Colon for 20 starts? What happens when Schilling returns. Just post your thoughts on him for the rest of the year.

[Philliebuster]

I need him to become Jake Peavy, hopefully only for a couple weeks.

[ROC AllStars]

If healthy, he could be a decent pickup. He's certainly a guy who knows how to pitch to big league hitters. As to the odds of him staying healthy, I would give him about 40% to make 20 starts. As to Schilling, IMO there is a strong chance he won't pitch this year. He was listed as 4-6 months in March. He chose to rehab, so the underlying injury is still there. He just looks to be a mess.

So, for a high end optimistic Colon projection:
19 GS, 9-6, 100 IP, 80 K, 24 BB, 4.75 ERA.

[Yanks_Baby]

If healthy, he could be a decent pickup. He's certainly a guy who knows how to pitch to big league hitters. As to the odds of him staying healthy, I would give him about 40% to make 20 starts. As to Schilling, IMO there is a strong chance he won't pitch this year. He was listed as 4-6 months in March. He chose to rehab, so the underlying injury is still there. He just looks to be a mess.

So, for a high end optimistic Colon projection:
19 GS, 9-6, 100 IP, 80 K, 24 BB, 4.75 ERA.

That's not optimistic. That's a pretty crappy pitcher. I'd say that pitcher should only be owned in leagues with over 14 teams. Even then, Idk.

I'd say an optimistic but possible prediction.

18 GS 9-6 115 IP 100 K 3.75 ERA 1.30 WHIP

I'm thinking this is a possibility, besides maybe hte K's I'm too hopeful for. i'd say he's a must add if you have the room.

[Morel Orel]

viewtopic.php?t=346046

[ROC AllStars]

That's not optimistic. That's a pretty crappy pitcher. I'd say that pitcher should only be owned in leagues with over 14 teams. Even then, Idk.

I'd say an optimistic but possible prediction.

18 GS 9-6 115 IP 100 K 3.75 ERA 1.30 WHIP

I'm thinking this is a possibility, besides maybe hte K's I'm too hopeful for. i'd say he's a must add if you have the room.

Judging by his numbers over his last two partial seasons, I think that my prediction is optimistic. I never said that that projection reflected a "must own" fantasy pitcher. Lets look at his numbers:

2007: 18 GS, 99 IP, 6-8, 76 K, 29 BB, 6.34 ERA

2006: 10 GS, 56 IP, 1-5, 31 K, 11 BB, 5.11 ERA

So what is decent about owning Colon, IMO, is that he will give you a fair amount of wins over the games he states (9 out of 19 or 20) as a result of playing for Boston. He will also K more than your average WW pitcher. So, relative to the rest of the crap floating around the WW, Colon has enough positive externalities that he should be considered a decent pickup at this point. If you have the room, in other words, go ahead and pick him up and hope for the best. The key difference between my projection and your projection is that mine is based on past performance and a realistic assessment of Colon's health. Over his past four seasons, which include two fully healthy years, Colon's ERA is 4.68. What makes you so confident that he can get it down to 3.75 playing in the AL East? His CAREER ERA is 4.10. Regardless, Colon is a decent pickup. But he is far from a "must own", reflected by that fact that he's on less than 5% of ESPN rosters. There is a difference between being optimistic and being unrealistic.

[Yanks_Baby]

That's not optimistic. That's a pretty crappy pitcher. I'd say that pitcher should only be owned in leagues with over 14 teams. Even then, Idk.

I'd say an optimistic but possible prediction.

18 GS 9-6 115 IP 100 K 3.75 ERA 1.30 WHIP

I'm thinking this is a possibility, besides maybe hte K's I'm too hopeful for. i'd say he's a must add if you have the room.

Judging by his numbers over his last two partial seasons, I think that my prediction is optimistic. I never said that that projection reflected a "must own" fantasy pitcher. Lets look at his numbers:

2007: 18 GS, 99 IP, 6-8, 76 K, 29 BB, 6.34 ERA

2006: 10 GS, 56 IP, 1-5, 31 K, 11 BB, 5.11 ERA

So what is decent about owning Colon, IMO, is that he will give you a fair amount of wins over the games he states (9 out of 19 or 20) as a result of playing for Boston. He will also K more than your average WW pitcher. So, relative to the rest of the crap floating around the WW, Colon has enough positive externalities that he should be considered a decent pickup at this point. If you have the room, in other words, go ahead and pick him up and hope for the best. The key difference between my projection and your projection is that mine is based on past performance and a realistic assessment of Colon's health. Over his past four seasons, which include two fully healthy years, Colon's ERA is 4.68. What makes you so confident that he can get it down to 3.75 playing in the AL East? His CAREER ERA is 4.10. Regardless, Colon is a decent pickup. But he is far from a "must own", reflected by that fact that he's on less than 5% of ESPN rosters. There is a difference between being optimistic and being unrealistic.