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jay bruce up soon?

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Re: jay bruce up soon?

Postby rib217 » Mon May 12, 2008 3:38 pm

Von Hayes wrote:
rib217 wrote:With a call up into the Bigs, what kind of numbers is he projected to put up?

If there is a giant thread on his season projections that i missed just direct me there please.


Projections are just projections. IMO, they don't mean much. You aren't just going to be able to take those projected numbers and put them into your fantasy lineup.

Here's what we know:

He's generally considered the top prospect in all of baseball.

He's currently hitting .328 with a .924 OPS. He has 6 HRs, 27 RBIs, 22 Runs, and 7 SBs. His biggest flaw at this point is his strikeout rate -- he has 34 Ks to only 9 walks.



I'd say he's worth owning if you can pick him up.


I agree but at least projections give you an idea of: is this guy a .300 hitter regularly? Are we looking at alot of power? speed? everything?
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Re: jay bruce up soon?

Postby JoshExley » Mon May 12, 2008 3:40 pm

Through today's double header he's at:

.348 - 7 - 29

I think if he gets the call by June 1st he could put up 20+ HR.
Hesitant to say Braun-like numbers, b/c that was just ridiculous.
Not sure Bruce could hit .300 this year, but maybe .280.
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Re: jay bruce up soon?

Postby NYMetsIn2k4 » Mon May 12, 2008 3:43 pm

May 12 Hal McCoy, of the Dayton Daily News, reports Cincinnati Reds manager Dusty Baker said OF Jay Bruce will be recalled soon.

this was his note just now on Yahoo! YES!!!!!!!!! FINALLY!!!!!!!!!! ;-D :-D ;-D :-D ;-D
10-Team 8x8 h2h

C VMart
1B MCab
2B Stewart
3B Zimmerman
SS Ramirez
OF Manny,BJUpton,Braun
Ut Rios
Ut Pierre
BN Quentin,Snider,Berkman,Bruce

SP Kershaw,Gallardo,Hanson,Liriano,Holland,JGarcia,Romero
RP KRod,Marmol,Feliz,Wagner,Dotel
DL BAnderson
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Re: jay bruce up soon?

Postby Yoda » Mon May 12, 2008 3:49 pm

JoshExley wrote:Through today's double header he's at:

.348 - 7 - 29

I think if he gets the call by June 1st he could put up 20+ HR.
Hesitant to say Braun-like numbers, b/c that was just ridiculous.
Not sure Bruce could hit .300 this year, but maybe .280.


Bruce has a 23% K rate at AAA. He isn't going to do much in MLB if he doesn't fix that very quickly.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
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Re: jay bruce up soon?

Postby WyldStallyn » Mon May 12, 2008 3:55 pm

Yoda wrote:Bruce has a 23% K rate at AAA. He isn't going to do much in MLB if he doesn't fix that very quickly.


yoda, dont rain on our parade. we're trying to build unreasonably high expectations for this kid
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Re: jay bruce up soon?

Postby Yoda » Mon May 12, 2008 4:04 pm

WyldStallyn wrote:
Yoda wrote:Bruce has a 23% K rate at AAA. He isn't going to do much in MLB if he doesn't fix that very quickly.


yoda, dont rain on our parade. we're trying to build unreasonably high expectations for this kid


Trust me I love the next great big thing as the next guy. It's not very realistic to expect a kid with a horrendous plate discipline at AAA to be successful right away. I could be wrong though.
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Re: jay bruce up soon?

Postby JoshExley » Mon May 12, 2008 4:05 pm

Yoda wrote:Bruce has a 23% K rate at AAA. He isn't going to do much in MLB if he doesn't fix that very quickly.


I'd agree with you, but...

Is he more like Brandon Wood or Delmon Young. Both had disgusting K rates, but Delmon isn't affected as much as Wood has been.
I'd classify Bruce as more of a "gifted" hitter, like Delmon.

I think he'll be ok regardless of his K rate, but I too would like to see him correct it.

Bruce career AAA K:BB ratio: 24:82 (322 AB) 7.5% (25% this year)
Delmon Young's career MiLB K rate was 20% and he STILL doesn't take a BB.
It affects guys differently.

Heck, look at Ryan Braun's K rates through minors AND majors. His MLB career is hovering around 25%.

K rate as a tell-all sign of success? :-t Sorry Yodes.
Last edited by JoshExley on Mon May 12, 2008 4:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: jay bruce up soon?

Postby chipper » Mon May 12, 2008 4:08 pm

Anyone think he's more worth owning for this year than say a Mike Cameron type player?
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Re: jay bruce up soon?

Postby NYMetsIn2k4 » Mon May 12, 2008 4:14 pm

yes, i do, for what its worth, imo he has more of an upside than mike cameron.
10-Team 8x8 h2h

C VMart
1B MCab
2B Stewart
3B Zimmerman
SS Ramirez
OF Manny,BJUpton,Braun
Ut Rios
Ut Pierre
BN Quentin,Snider,Berkman,Bruce

SP Kershaw,Gallardo,Hanson,Liriano,Holland,JGarcia,Romero
RP KRod,Marmol,Feliz,Wagner,Dotel
DL BAnderson
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Re: jay bruce up soon?

Postby J35J » Mon May 12, 2008 4:15 pm

JoshExley wrote:K rate as a tell-all sign of success? :-t Sorry Yodes.


I don't think any says its a "tell-all" sign but it is a good one. Of course there are exceptions but this kid not only has the poor K rate and low number of walks but he is still very young and will be looked at as the next greatest thing. If he puts too much pressure on himself at all I could see that K/BB ratio really blow up in his face!

With all that said, I'll go out and try to get him just like anyone will but I've got pretty tempered expectations for this year!
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