I'm not sold on Ortiz...
In my opinion he's got the same kinda numbers as Kerry Wood has put up over the last bunch of years, ie. 3.60+ ERA, high WHIP, high walks, etc..
Except for one thing - Russ ain't nearly as dominant as Wood...
Add that up and you've got yourself a pretty mediocre pitcher in itself.
Some guys go by the totals, I go by the probability of a pitcher to win, here's an example:
Assuming an equal number of starts for these 2 pitchers,
Some guys go for the guy who has 8 wins, 3.75 ERA, 1.40 WHIP...
While I'll take the guy with 4 wins, 2.99 ERA, 1.11 WHIP..
Why the hell would I do that? Because you can't change the past stats but the future stats are what I'm intersted in so although the other guy has 8 wins, he's nubmers dictate to an extent that he's the worse of the two pitchers thus the probability of him posting the better stats is less likely than the chances that the actual better pitcher will produce..
[quote:4fef447375="Geek"]The odds of the AL MVP coming from the American League are looking pretty good.[/quote]