Yeah, I think the average and the RBI's and runs will still be there at the end of the year. Everything else is going to regress though... he won't be a top 10 OF at the end of the year but he'll still be a must start.
He's cold. He was at .293 after the Detroit series, and I believe he hasn't had a hit since that game Sunday night!! He'll get hot, and get that avg up. But I agree that his days of hitting 30 HR's may be gone.
Vlad's always been a happy-go-lucky swinger at the plate, but yet he's always managed to maintain a high contact rate. I'm not saying that the K's have finally caught up to him, but it seems to me Vlad's pressing some more than usual. Normally, he's an aggressive hitter that in recent times has had him swinging at jam shots for groundballs. Once Vlad sorts that out, I think he vaults his average to .300 and 25 HR as a floor. Vlad produces in bunches and likewise the slumps can be just as torrid, as they've been for the last 3 years, but a good surge will have Vladdy back as a 30-35 HR hitter again.