I really like Baker and Jurrjens. Baker has given up a lot of HR's, but he's not walking guys, so it hasnt' hurt him yet. Jurrjens has excellent stuff, and I think he's the best of the 4 you listed. I'm not sold on Olsen yet. He was pretty good in 2006, but struggled with off-field issues last year. He's been solid so far, but he hasn't been striking guys out like he did in 2006. He has a sick slider, and should be able to rack up K's.
pangbones wrote:I really like Baker and Jurrjens. Baker has given up a lot of HR's, but he's not walking guys, so it hasnt' hurt him yet. Jurrjens has excellent stuff, and I think he's the best of the 4 you listed. I'm not sold on Olsen yet. He was pretty good in 2006, but struggled with off-field issues last year. He's been solid so far, but he hasn't been striking guys out like he did in 2006. He has a sick slider, and should be able to rack up K's.
I'm actually at the complete opposite end of the spectrum here, I actually like Jurrjens and Baker the least.....
Ranking them based on pure breakout upside I have them:
I think for this year you have to assume that Jurrjens and Baker will struggle later in the season as the league has a chance to see them more and they deal with the increased workload. So I like Danks and Olsen a little more than them. I think most people would prefer Danks because of the Ks, and justifiably so, but I'm encouraged by the emphasis on control that Olsen has made. Something can be said for young pitchers trusting their stuff and being willing to pitch to contact and I think the Ks will start coming. Also, when in doubt, NL pitchers over AL ones and the better pitcher's park.