RAmst23 wrote:I agree with several, though I believe some are overly optimistic.
I'm not sure Ankiel is going to knock in 90, especially since the Cards are using a rotating OF and he'll probably see less playing time when Rasmus comes up. I'd knock his numbers down to .260 25 60/75. McLouth will have a hard time scoring 90 with that line-up, and he'll probably regress as the season goes on. Less power and SBs for him.
Less power and SB for Mclouth? The guy hit 13 and stole 22/23 in about half a season's worth of AB last season. (not sure how many of those SB were as a pinch runner). I don't think he is going to regress other than his average and RBI obviously so 20/30 doesn't see off to me at all. The 70 RBI might be high but he is off to such a great start there. If he leads off and hits .280+ all year he shouldn't have trouble scoring 85-90 runs with his speed and power. Ankiel I might agree with but if his numbers are lower because of fewer starts it won't matter too much, I'd just plug in someone else. Plus I was a little conservative on the power totals for Pena, Kinsler and my SS spot. Duncan is an FA in that league and has great numbers vs righties. I am trying to trade speed for power to replace Ankiel if he does fall off.
As for Ichiro I don't think he is slowing down and I hope he hits .330+ because I traded for him solely to get my average up. If my projections came true I'd have about 50 points from my offense which would be very nice.