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by dragoon » Sat May 03, 2008 8:25 pm
bigh0rt wrote:Doughhead wrote:I'd be curious to hear some thoughts on Ryan Church. He's shown flashes before, but I don't think he's ever been more fantasy relevant than he is right now. Hitting second in the Mets' potent lineup, he should see lots of good pitches and run/RBI opportunities. Can he keep up his torid pace and have a true breakout season in 2008?
The Mets are something like 7 - 0 with Church in the 2-hole, so hopefully Willie stops tinkering and just leaves him there. Batting between Reyes and Wright, Church should see quite a few pitches to hit, and I think something to the effect of .282, 17 HR, 90 R, 72 RBI, 4 SB isn't out of the question, if he's batting 2nd all season and healthy.
That's not a bad prediction at all, but I think he can surpass those numbers a little. I'd go .285/22 HR/95 R/77 RBI
He hit 15 home runs and 43 doubles last year at RFK, which seems to me like some of those doubles in the gaps would turn into home runs even at Shea. With Wright and Beltran behind him he should see better pitches and I really don't think that 22 home runs is out of reach. He is on pace for about 25 now and I see no reason why he won't keep that up. .285 seems high too but he batted .287 in 2005 and was a .292 career hitter. The runs and RBI should be relatively easy to reach as long as he stays healthy and the guys around him do their jobs.
OF is so deep this year though that I wouldn't even touch him if he was a free agent in my 12 teamer.
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