NZ Eff wrote:
He's faced the Cardinals twice who besides Pujols are awful. He's faced the Padres once who besdies no one are offensively anemic and he's pitched against the Dodgers who haven't shown much yet either.
His Whip after pitching those 4 games is 1.39 with a BAA .271
He has been very lucky that his ERA is not much higher.
I'm not a believer at all in second year pitchers. I know this guy does have great natural ability and I've witnessed this in the 4-5 games I've seen him pitch in. He will have a great k/9 but I wouldn't expect any improvment on his ERA and Whip ratios from 2007.
Yes, the 12-7 Cardinals are awful besides Pujols. Especially Ryan Ludwick, who's hitting .395 with 4 homers and 11 RBI in a PLATOON situaiton nonetheless, or his platoon mate Skip Schumaker who's hitting a cool .333 with a homer, 5 RBI, 16 runs and 3 stolen bags, or Chris Duncan who's hitting .325 with a 2/6/10 line, or Rick Ankiel with 4 homers, 11 rbi and 10 runs of his own...give me a break. The Cardinals were the hottest team in the MLB to begin the season, and it took the lowly Giants and more specifically, Lincecum, to bring them down a notch. You cannot justify Lincecum's superb performance thus far on the other team being crappy when they are far from it.
Now, will Lincecum continue this pace? Probably not. But there is no reason to think that he can't be a top 15 pitcher this year or that he won't improve on last year's numbers...that's just foolish. That's like saying that after Johan's first full year in the majors that there was NO WAY he could improve upon his numbers. I love how non-chalant people are when they toss out crap like "i wouldn't expect any improvement in ERA and WHIP" like it's Odalis Perez we're talking about here. Yeah he might not get a lot of wins, but as it stands, the kid is 3-0, and the Giants as a whole are 4-0 in his starts, he'll k close to 200 batters and his peripherals will be fine. Take it for what it's worth, but i'd love to be in leagues with people trying to "sell high" on Timmy, cause i am buying every time.