Yoda wrote: LOL that 'study' is a complete joke as I suspected.
You don't even consider the talent with the group that improved versus the group that regressed.
Why is that relevant? Isn't that stating the obvious? The purpose of the study was to identify pitchers that could be great sleepers moving into their third year (ie. those that improved in their second) more than expecting a 70% regression among second year guys.
This theory threw up Jake Peavy as I mentioned in February '04 as a guy to target and look what happened. I also mentioned Garland who in 2005 was talked about in CY voting.
The only thing that these guys have in common is the fact that it is their 2nd season. Nothing else. Size, shape, age, experience, skill level, talent are completely ignored in your 'study'. Players should be looked at individually.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
Yoda wrote:The only thing that these guys have in common is the fact that it is their 2nd season. Nothing else. Size, shape, age, experience, skill level, talent are completely ignored in your 'study'. Players should be looked at individually.
You're getting way too complicated. It's a simple study based on familiarity. Nothing to do with anything else.
Call it a joke, call it anything you want but I'm very comfortable with the results and use it as a valuable drafting tool in March with a great deal of success.
In '06, Olsen was touching 92-96 on the gun. He is now sitting between 86-90. His location has been much better, but it's hard to get excited about a lefty that has a fastball under 90mph and doesn't miss bats. Sooner or later, but things are going to happen. Now is the time to sell him.