Though it may be early in the season, I think the ultimate buy low is Russell Martin as of today. For those of us who missed out on a good catcher, I think it is the appropriate time to send out offers for Martin, who is well below the Mendoza line. The only thing I am worried about is the possibity after a buy low, that Martin really does not bounce back to/near his 2007 numbers, since he is so early in his career. I am concentrating on the typical owner who worries that he or she may look like an idiot for drafting a catcher of Martin's caliber so high (as they most likely reached to draft him) so they are willing to part with him in order to avoid league embarrasment.
The fact is, unless you're in a league of morons, owners know they drafted a catcher early for a reason if they took him. He was probably a 4th round pick, and they will not be giving up on him anytime soon. Though is value is not as high as it was on draft day, he still will not come for free.
You're not going to be buying low from anyone, much less, "the ultimate buy low". Noone is going to be trading Martin for a bag of baseballs. If he's traded, it will be based upon last year's stats, not this year's.
Rickey Henderson would be the, "ultimate buy low".
0-3 to 4-3. Worst choke in the history of baseball. Enough said.
The River wrote:Though it may be early in the season, I think the ultimate buy low is Russell Martin as of today. For those of us who missed out on a good catcher, I think it is the appropriate time to send out offers for Martin, who is well below the Mendoza line. The only thing I am worried about is the possibity after a buy low, that Martin really does not bounce back to/near his 2007 numbers, since he is so early in his career. I am concentrating on the typical owner who worries that he or she may look like an idiot for drafting a catcher of Martin's caliber so high (as they most likely reached to draft him) so they are willing to part with him in order to avoid league embarrasment.
Thoughts?
There was no player in baseball that I was more sure would be a bust than Martin. It was painfully obvious he had no chance of earning his draft pick. While I think he could be an ok buy low now he was a terrible pick in the first place which offsets some of the value.
after a week....? i doubt it. i'd say you'd have to wait at least another 3 weeks and even then you might have to overpay. he was a sexy, sexy catcher last year because of those stolen bases, and people don't forget that easily.
as a Martin owner in one of my leagues I'm not in the least bit concerned by his start, in fact I'm somewhat encouraged to see he already has stolen a base. i do think he is overrated and worry about a repeat of last year but with catcher being such a thin position with only maybe 4 top guys i don't see how martin can be considered a guy that owners would be willing to deal and then scour the free agent pool for a replacement.