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Parity?

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Re: Parity?

Postby Apollo » Wed Apr 02, 2008 1:42 pm

BritSox wrote:A Red Sox fan realises that the Indians have been to the postseason the exact same number of times the Sox have in the Wild Card era. You have the same number of pennants, and more division titles. You can moan about the money Detroit has spent, but it's not like Detroit is a perennial powerhouse, now is it? In fact, until 2006 that Franchise was a byword for suck.


Exactly. Since the Wild Card began, the Indians have been managed soooo much better than the Red Sox. It's only now, 13 years in, that the Red Sox are even starting to develop prospects (and getting celebrated for it, which is silly). And yet the Sox have the same number of postseason appearances as the Indians (and two more World Series). That's proof right there that the game is messed up.

And by cherry-picking the Wild Card era, you're throwing off the numbers a little bit. When Albert Belle got $8 million per year before the 1997 season, it was the highest salary in baseball. Five years later, Manny Ramirez got $20 million from the Red Sox, and that's when the Indians were officially priced out. If you go by a slightly less arbitrary date, say since 2000 (when the salary boom was really happening), the Red Sox have had many more postseason appearances than the Tribe.

As for Detroit, well, you'll notice that they stopped being a "byword for suck" when they stopped pretending to be a small market and started throwing cash around like crazy.

Cleveland has a much better situation than many other smaller market teams. There is no New York or LA team in their division, and the Chicago team is very much the poor relation of the two. No division has smaller combined revenues than the AL Central, I believe. Washington is firmly in the bottom quartile in terms of payroll, but drew more in their inaugural season than the Tigers have, ever. Heck, one could argue that the Indians' situation is far better than that of the BlueJays or Orioles, who have far higher payrolls. The Indians, at least, have comparably small markets like Minny and KC in their division. Note also that they've been able to extend Pronk and V-Mart beyond their usual years of team control.


I know! Isn't that crazy? The Indians have an amazingly lucky situation, which is the only reason they have been able to compete as much as they have. Thing is, I'm not just saying "poor Indians," I'm saying "poor everybody that isn't rich." You said it yourself -- imagine being Toronto! They spend a bunch of money and develop some prospects and they still have no hope of ever winning that division unless both New York and Boston act like morons at the same time.

And if Chicago and Detroit ever get their acts together at the same time and start spending their money wisely, the Indians will be mostly screwed too.

What I'm saying is, hey, the Indians are one of the best-run teams in baseball, they're in an extremely lucky situation (though Dick Jacobs was the one that volunteered to move the Tribe out of the AL East when realignment happened, so they deserve some credit there), and they still lose all their best players and have small competitive windows.

If you look at the NL West, the Dodgers and Giants both far outstrip the Padres, Rox and D-Backs in revenues, but if you look at playoff appearances and pennants over the last decade... That looks a lot like parity to me.


Well yeah, that's the NL West. The Dodgers and Giants are epically incompetent franchises. Talk about getting nothing for your money. If they ever had decent management (or if Depodesta was left in charge for a few years), well, tough luck Padres.
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Re: Parity?

Postby great gretzky » Wed Apr 02, 2008 8:42 pm

[quote="Bloody Sox"]
Actually - this is completely false. In advance, you can only tell me that a team will be playing its division opponents twice (6 games) and one entire division from the other conference (4 games) - the other 6 games are based solely on your position in the standings. If you suck, you play other crappy teams, which makes it easier to compete the next year. If baseball did this, it would be the equivalent of having 60 games on the schedule decided based on your record the previous year, where bad teams would play other bad teams more often (and vice-versa). Actually sounds like a decent idea... :-?[quote]

Sorry, but you are misinformed. This is the way it used to be, but it has been changed for a handful of years now. There are only two games determined by record in the NFL. You have 6 determined by your division. Then you play a whole other division in conference, and then a whole other division out of conference. The divisions rotate and have been determined for years to come. The "last place schedule" used to exist, but it is no more.

and as per the definition of parity, it is mistakenly applied in football as teams like the colts, steelers, (first half of 2000s) eagles, patriots etc. have all made the playoffs several times. However with football, it is also equally applied to the "any given sunday" mentality, in the sense that the salary cap makes the margin of difference much smaller than in other leagues. Not sure I buy into that totally, but there you go.
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Re: Parity?

Postby BronXBombers51 » Wed Apr 02, 2008 10:51 pm

Apollo wrote:In any event, my point still stands. The Marlins and the Pirates aren't ruining anybody's seasons except their own. The Yankees and Red Sox are ruining quite a few teams. And even if the cheapos really are pocketing revenue-sharing money, it obviously isn't hurting the Yankees' bottom line.


I don't understand why the Yankees being a 'great' team affects anyone's season more than the Marlins being an 'awful' team does. Couldn't it be argued that teams like the Mets, Braves, Phillies, etc. have a larger advantage over WC teams from other divisions since they get to play the Marlins 15-20 times a year?

The Marlins might not be keeping anyone out of the playoffs per se, but aren't they affecting the competitive balance of the league just the same? You say that the Marlins being non-competitive only ruins their season...but somebody is playing against the Marlins. Somebody is racking up wins against them. Perhaps if the Marlins were more competitive, the Mets/Phillies/Braves would have won less games and another team from a more competitive division would have a better shot at the Wild Card.


On a side note, I found this list of MLB Markets: http://www.baseball-almanac.com/article ... kets.shtml

Interesting things...

St. Louis is in the same tier as cities like Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, Minnesota, Cleveland, San Diego, Colorado...yet they are spending $100 million this year. How?

By the same token, the Giants are usually pretty good with the wallet. They are around $78 million this year, but they are usually up around $90-$100 ($90 last year). Oakland plays in the same market, but they don't come close to that amount of payroll. Why? Is it simply the owner? Because if the owner is the only reason that the A's don't spend money, then I'm not going to listen to A's fans complain that the system needs to be changed.

I understand that teams in small markets have a disadvantage over teams in large markets. But I think some people are assuming that teams with low payrolls are small-market teams. This isn't really the case. Washington is below $60 million in payroll and is one of the bigger markets in the MLB. The same seems to go for Oakland, if the above data is correct.
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