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Could Lugo suprise us in 2008? or is he garbage?

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Could Lugo suprise us in 2008? or is he garbage?

Postby rib217 » Mon Mar 31, 2008 11:26 am

Obviously Lugo destroyed the avg of anyone who touched him last year. Regardless, he still did have 70 R 73 RBI's and 33 SB. Those Rbi's are pretty good for someone batting .230.

He's had some decent years batting in the .280-.290 range. Does he have the ability to improve his average back to those numbers? If so, you could have 30+ SB with some solid R, RBI, and avg potential.

Is he worth a look? Or do all signs point to him batting around .250?
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Re: Could Lugo suprise us in 2008? or is he garbage?

Postby ayebatter » Mon Mar 31, 2008 11:29 am

What would you do if he hit .270 - thats what I see for '08. ;-)
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Re: Could Lugo suprise us in 2008? or is he garbage?

Postby chipper » Mon Mar 31, 2008 12:11 pm

From what I heard, he came into last season about 30 pounds light after having some weird stomach virus for about a month. After the allstar break, he did hit .280, and his last 2 years with Tampa Bay he hit .290 and .300
Like the other guy said, 70+ RBI and 70+ runs scored is pretty amazing for someone hitting 9th (partially a product of the Red Sox lineup). Seeing as where you can get him in drafts, a line of .280+, 35-40 SB's, 70+ RBI and 80+ runs is great for your MI spot in the late rounds.
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Re: Could Lugo suprise us in 2008? or is he garbage?

Postby RedSoxNation04 » Mon Mar 31, 2008 12:25 pm

chipper wrote:From what I heard, he came into last season about 30 pounds light after having some weird stomach virus for about a month. After the allstar break, he did hit .280, and his last 2 years with Tampa Bay he hit .290 and .300
Like the other guy said, 70+ RBI and 70+ runs scored is pretty amazing for someone hitting 9th (partially a product of the Red Sox lineup). Seeing as where you can get him in drafts, a line of .280+, 35-40 SB's, 70+ RBI and 80+ runs is great for your MI spot in the late rounds.

Well said. I would expect the SB's to top out around 30 but I definitely think he will be a more productive hitter this year, avg-wise, now that he's completely healthy. His first half last year was awful but hopefully he gets off to a decent start and stays healthy this year.
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Re: Could Lugo suprise us in 2008? or is he garbage?

Postby freeling_prideful » Mon Mar 31, 2008 2:21 pm

He's lost his leadoff job, so don't expect too many runs and maybe a few more RBIs...average is definitely going to come back up, it's unrealistic for a guy that fast to hit .230 when he doesn't strike out all that much.

.280 is a reasonable projection for average, certainly 35-40 steals could easily happen. Don't expect to many counting numbers, though, 65-75 RBI and 85 R will be realistic maximums, maybe 5-10 homers thrown in.
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Re: Could Lugo suprise us in 2008? or is he garbage?

Postby Ender » Mon Mar 31, 2008 2:32 pm

He would surprise me by hitting .230 again. He is at least a .270 hitter and you should expect at least .270. AVG is not a stat that just drops off like that and it is one where players have off years.
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