Yoda wrote:He was good in 06 but he was white hot in the second half.
I think this point is often overlooked. It's not just that his perceived value is tied to 2006; it's only tied to two months of 2006. That year, in a pretty deep league I was in, he was picked up and put back onto waivers about 3 times after frustrating with numerous 0-fers. That year, he had an April OBP of .274 (and an AVG of .208) and a May OBP of .333. Then in June and July he had OBPs of .400 and .430, SLGs of .737 and .700, and collected 18 of his 34 home runs for the year.
His best months were June and July in '06, but he was solid every month except April, where he was terrible. He did seem to lose some power at the end of '06 though. The streakiness was the same thing in '07, except reversed. He was great the first half of the season, then completely fell off the second half. He hit .295/.364/.581 pre-All Star break last year and only .243/.318/.384 after it.
If he can put up the season totals that he's putting up despite throwing in a .208/.274/.416 or a .227/.287/.336 month, he's worth a good draft pick. Given his age and major league time, I'm a little hesitant to label him streaky yet, although it definitely appears that way. He certainly has the ability to correct for those terrible months and maybe eliminate them completely in the future. Not to say that he won't go through slumps, but maybe just as not as bad of ones.