byfrcp wrote:It's the fact that he put those numbers as his "ceiling". That means he would be shocked if he reached those numbers. He's basically putting his projection at .260, 22HR, and 80 RBI. And that's just wrong.
And the fact that you said 280-30-110 is as low as he'll go in anything means you'd be shocked if he did not reach any of those totals. Shocked that a career 276 hitter hits under 280? Shocked that a guy who hit 31HR and 111RBI last yr doesn't hit 30-110 this year?
Remember Minnesota's offense didn't get any better, it got worse. Adam Everett? Carlos Gomez?
Your projection is reasonable but i don't think its 'as low as he'll go in anything.' Would you be surprised if he went 270-29-95? I wouldn't.
As for 280-30-110, I'll take the over on the HR and the under on AVG/RBI.