I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that Trevor Hoffman is the first. He's a long veteran so he'll command a lot of respect and patience, but I think there are worrying signs about him. So maybe they'll call it arm fatigue, put him on the DL, and let their closer-in-waiting Heath Bell step up to the job.
NZ Eff wrote:Lyon will be the first. In fact he may lose it before opening day. CJ Wilson will also lose his job early. Maybe even before the end of May. Sherrill will be out of the role in Baltimore before July. Gregg will likely be traded to another team as a set up guy
NZ, that was very poetic!
I generally agree. Lyon, then Wilson, at least. Gregg and Chad Cordero are trade candidates. The other sketchy closers I see as 50/50 running with it or breaking down.
Yes, Cordero is a very nice mention here. Jon Rauch is a good late-rounder to help your ratios and Ks for half a season and then possibly get a closer job at mid-season. I also think if Street does well and stays healthy he will be traded. I like Devine to have a shot to take over that roll later on in the season.
Oh and "Nerfherders", is that a Jenna Bush Army reference?
Percival, why he is closing is a mystery. Lyon, not big on him at all. Wood, will hit dl, giving Marmol/Howry the job to never give back. Gregg, not high on him. Borowski, you can only take so much era.
I don't think either Wilson is as risky as those 3. Saito is fine. Not worried about him at all.
Smells Like Teen Spirit
HOOTIE
Hall of Fame Hero
Posts: 14815
(Past Year: 555)
Joined: 12 Jan 2003
Bases this season: 4,236
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Pearl Jam country, right next door to Nirvana, Soundgarden, and Alice in Chains.
Again not saying that there WILL be a problem, but the guy is the same age as Mariano Rivera and has one of the most dominant young relief pitchers waiting in the wings. In my book that definitely adds some more degree of risk than some other guys and keeps him from being in that 1b closer group.
Early Outs B Lyon easily is the first guy out. Don't trust CJ Wilson either. He is second. BJ Ryan is not the closer right now so he is out of consideration. Lidge is next. Borowski T Jones
Could be traded later Gregg Percival (no good option behind him so he'll close until traded) C Cordero
Could be out later Corpas (Fuentes will push him) Hoffman (ineffectivness) Izzy (injury)
They will stay Sherill (not much of a challange there) Gagne (team invested too much) Wood (sorry Marmol owners, not this year, Wood will remain even if he hit DL for a short time. Howry zero chance) Saito (no Broxton either, Saito is solid) Nathan (someone mentioned him but he just signed long term) Brian Wilson (he'll be given a long leash, they're rebuilding)
I have no idea Rafael Soriano
the awesome sig by soty
"You should be mindful of the future, but not at the expense of the moment." - Qui-Gon Jinn (keeper league expert?)
Out of those two I'd say Fukumori. Cause I think Borowski is more solid lock on the job than Wilson (scary, huh?) and Betancourt looks to be the next in line in CLE, whereas it's up in the air in Texas.
Yeah, I just wanted to say "whereas" in a sentence.