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Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

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Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

Postby RugbyD » Mon Mar 24, 2008 1:32 pm

I was perusing the over/under lines online today and thought that the Giants at 73 wins was very generous.

Why I could be wrong:
-Bonds gone is weight off many shoulders
-Zito should be better
-Cain should be better

Why I think I'm right:
-Rest of division is significantly better
-Worse offense than last year negates any pitching improvement
-Aaron Rowand is their best position player
-Minimal offensive depth behind 6 starters above age 33(33, 36, 36, 40, 35, 33), some of whom are serially injury-prone
-Unproven closer

I thought 68 was more appropriate, and I'd be interested in what you guys think would be fair odds on 62.

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Re: Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

Postby acsguitar » Mon Mar 24, 2008 1:36 pm

I don't think they'll finish .500 truthfully.

Dodgers roxs and d backs are much much better
I'm too lazy to make a sig at the moment
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Re: Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

Postby AussieDodger » Mon Mar 24, 2008 1:40 pm

I was thinking about 67-70 wins for them.
Unless the front office perishes in a plane crash, I think it'll be like that for a while.
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Re: Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

Postby shmolex » Mon Mar 24, 2008 1:51 pm

.500? i would be ecstatic if they finish .500

I wouldn't be surprised if this team loses 100 games honestly.
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Re: Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

Postby StarsNPinstripes » Mon Mar 24, 2008 1:57 pm

Personally, I'm in that 68-70 range myself.

Over 73 Argument:
SF will win games with pitching and Brian Wilson will be key.If he can lock down these close games SF might beat the over 73 especially with the possibility of Lincecum or Cain,or both, exploding.Zito should be able to build on his 2nd half.

Under 73 Argument:
With this pathetic offense,If the bullpen is in shambles and Zito pitches like he did in the 1st half and Cain & Lincecum don't take the next step it'll be brutal by the bay.
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Re: Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

Postby Nerfherders » Mon Mar 24, 2008 3:45 pm

High 60's seem about right. Their pitching is better than their hitting so I don't forsee anything historically bad. But that hitting lineup is so bad. so so bad. They were last in the majors last year with a .387 SLG. This could easily be a team with 9 Dave Robertses, without speed. Which means that in order to win they have to have a bullpen that can hold slim leads cuz this team wont score more than 4 runs in a game.
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Re: Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

Postby Snakes Gould » Mon Mar 24, 2008 3:50 pm

i guess they just assume with their staff that they should be in a bunch of low scoring games. id say under 73 but only slightly. 70-71.
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Re: Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

Postby BronXBombers51 » Mon Mar 24, 2008 3:56 pm

acsguitar wrote:I don't think they'll finish .500 truthfully.

Dodgers roxs and d backs are much much better


Who said anything about .500?

I doubt this team wins 70 games. I think it's down to San Francisco and Baltimore for the worst record in baseball this year.
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Re: Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

Postby acsguitar » Mon Mar 24, 2008 3:58 pm

shmolex wrote:.500? i would be ecstatic if they finish .500

I wouldn't be surprised if this team loses 100 games honestly.


I'm awful at math. For some reason I thought 500 would be less the 73 wins
I'm too lazy to make a sig at the moment
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Re: Giants O/U @ 73 too generous?

Postby Another Blown Save » Mon Mar 24, 2008 4:33 pm

I'd definitely take under on that one.
Remember, last year's Giants only won 71 games, so to take over, you have to believe that this year's Giants are better than last year.
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