by The Big Train » Sun Mar 23, 2008 9:07 am
Hard to say given that he's only 22 and has just 150+ AB's so far. 500 AB's is not an unreasonable target particularly if he hits second; his glove is good enough to keep him in the lineup even if he doesn't hit well at times. There's talk of him hitting eighth which I suspect won't happen, but the Indians MLB site suggested that the Indians might be wary of putting him in the two-hole to avoid putting too much pressure on him given that Peralta melted down after he was given the three-hole following his great '05 season. That's probably just cover to try and take pressure off the kid given that the Indians were 24-6 last season when he hit in the no. 2 position. He showed some speed in the minors so the biggest question is whether Wedge gives him both the two-spot and the green light. If so, he's a good end game pick if he can maintain a decent average. Baseball Prospectus is not very upbeat: .263/.324/.383. Baseball HQ suggests that there are some good skills at work. I don't think a .280 AVG and 15-20 SB is out of the question. That might be a gamble though if you are drafting him for any position other than MI.
As for Drew comparisons, I think it's pretty straight forward: if you want extra ding-dongs and RBI's, Drew is your guy. If you want potentially more Runs and SB, Cabrera is your choice.
+
= 762
"Trying to hit him was like trying to drink coffee with a fork." - Willie Stargell on Sandy Koufax