Ender wrote:I'd take Cabrera in roto for sure, I might take Howard in H2H though where power means more.
The difference between a .320 AVG and a .275 AVG more than makes up for the other stats in my opinion. I could also see Cabrera beating Howard by 25 runs this year. It also isn't out of the question that Cabrera is back to 8 or 9 SB as Detroit doesn't mind sending the middle of their order.
Well said, especially with M-Cab being well, more streamlined, to steal a few bags.
I'm debating about this in preparation for my H2HWS drafts when OPS is counted for in addition. M-Cab's a better bet to produce very well in 5 cats (counting OPS) and should outpace Howard in R, BA, but Howard has 50 HR potential and can carry a squad in power for weeks on end. I think the clincher for me is the fact that a top 5 quality 3B is harder to come by and you would still be sitting pretty if you grabbed a Derrek Lee/Adrian Gonzalez type.
Average is important of course, but then again Howard did hit .288 in 05 and .313 in 06, everyone is acting like there's no way he'll hit better than .270, I don't watch too many Philly games over the course of the year, but is it completely unreasonable to think he could at least hit .290?
horatio wrote:Average is important of course, but then again Howard did hit .288 in 05 and .313 in 06, everyone is acting like there's no way he'll hit better than .270, I don't watch too many Philly games over the course of the year, but is it completely unreasonable to think he could at least hit .290?
He could hit .290 but Cabrera could hit .350 too. I think Howard isn't very likely to break .280 with all those strike outs. In 2006 he was obscenely hot in the 2nd half, not sure he can repeat that. I've been saying it for a couple years now but Howard = Thome. He might have a few years where he hits .290 when he is younger but as he ages he'll setting in to that .260-.270 hitter with big power. I would imagine he has injury struggles in a few years just like Thome did as a rather large man who relies on swing very hard.
Miggy plays in a better lineup for protection. has better dicipline and strikezone judgement increasing power that could exceed 40+ and is just entering his prime years at 25 years old playing the hot corner (thin fantasy position)
I'm surprised so many have Howard ranked higher. I think most owners get all starry-eyed over the power (which is indeed monstrous) but don't pay enough attention to the BA (which can be a killer), the sub-100 runs, and the total lack of SB). I'd take MCab's 40+ higher BA, good run totals, some steals, and position scarcity (3B compared to 1B). Grab MCab in the 1st round and you can still get an elite 1B on the comeback (Tex, Ortiz, etc.) or wait a few rounds and get the poor man's Howard (Adam Dunn).
If you take Howard in the 1st, you'll be left with a fairly weak crop of 3B.
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