Yoda wrote:Pedro is at a point where his decline should be noticeable. He will still be better than most #2 pitchers but there should be some velocity drop and his breaking pitches probably won't be as sharp. Durability is also a concern and he probably won't log 200+ IPs. I'd probably be very comfortable with him as my #3 pitcher.
I disagree with you on the velocity drop. If anything, his velocity will most likely increase. He's been living in the high 80s for a couple of years because of the shoulder injury he had repaired. With a full winter of conditioning, and natural healing from the surgery, that shoulder should be better than it has been in a long time. I do agree with you on the durability concern, but mostly because of that highly ridiculous, completely unnecessary toe-tap he does after every pitch.