Do You Use PFM During your Auction/Draft? - Fantasy Baseball Cafe 2014 Fantasy Baseball Cafe
100% Deposit Bonus for Cafe Members!

Return to Baseball Leftovers

Do You Use PFM During your Auction/Draft?

Moderator: Baseball Moderators

Re: Do You Use PFM During your Auction/Draft?

Postby makewayhomer » Thu Mar 13, 2008 8:42 am

The Loveable Losers wrote:
jfg wrote:You have to be careful not to wait too long though. I usually average out PECOTA and Forecaster with a some of my own thoughts and that gives me a good cheat sheet that balances out PECOTA's craziness with Shandler's craziness and I get the players I want above their ADP but not too far above. It's not scientific but I like how it's worked.


I take it a few steps further and mix in Rotowire (for another random guy's craziness), Zips, and Marcels. I find it gives you a nice blend of potential ability versus past results and prevents you from overdrafting rookies/young players since Marcels and I think Zips as well have a healthy regression to league average for young players.


by adding in every projection system you wont get improved results; in fact they will probably get worse.
makewayhomer
College Coach
College Coach


Posts: 131
Joined: 19 Feb 2008
Home Cafe: Baseball

Re: Do You Use PFM During your Auction/Draft?

Postby The Loveable Losers » Thu Mar 13, 2008 9:45 am

jfg wrote:I think that would really water down Shandler and PECOTA though assuming you're making one big cheat sheet. I don't want to take out too much of the craziness!


I tried it one year with just Shandler/PECOTA and I had to constantly ignore my own cheat sheet because of the irrational exuberance. I'd rather have a milquetoast cheat sheet and generate my own irrationality. Plus with my sheet I have it set up where I can change the weights so if I want to go to the crazy side I just bump Shandler/PECOTA up in relevance and bump down the 'boring' projections.
The Loveable Losers
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicFantasy ExpertCafe WriterCafe RankerMock(ing) DrafterWeb Supporter
Posts: 7290
Joined: 30 Mar 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Cubs Win!!! Cubs Win!!!

Previous

Return to Baseball Leftovers

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: BALCO All-Stars, felixad60, Ray Zorback and 9 guests

Forums Articles & Tips Sleepers Rankings Leagues


Today's Games
Monday, Apr. 21
(All times are EST, weather icons show forecast for game time)

Baltimore at Boston
(11:05 am)
Kansas City at Cleveland
(7:05 pm)
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
(7:05 pm)
LA Angels at Washington
(7:05 pm)
Chi White Sox at Detroit
(7:08 pm)
St. Louis at NY Mets
(7:10 pm)
Miami at Atlanta
(7:10 pm)
Arizona at Chi Cubs
(8:05 pm)
San Diego at Milwaukee
(8:10 pm)
San Francisco at Colorado
(8:40 pm)
Texas at Oakland
(10:05 pm)
Philadelphia at LA Dodgers
(10:10 pm)
Houston at Seattle
(10:10 pm)

  • Fantasy Baseball
  • Article Submissions
  • Privacy Statement
  • Site Survey 
  • Contact