Lowene has a 5.22 BB/9 in 329.2 IP in the Minors. Bedard has a 3.05 BB/9 in 342.1 IP. Nice try though.
Is that adjusted for age and level of play?
Of course not.
To be clear, Loewen is likely to have a higher BB/9 than Bedard. But, your simple comparison ignores the fact that at every Loewen was 1-3 years younger than Bedard. To recount the history:
At age 20 AL was in A ball, and had a 6.48 BB/9
At age 20 EB was in rookie ball (2 levels below AL) and had a BB/9 of 4.03
At age 21 AL was in A+ ball and had a BB/9 of 5.45
At age 21 EB was in A ball (1 level below AL) and had a BB/9 of 2.83
At age 22 AL was in AA/AAA/MLB. In AA/AAA he had a BB/9 of 3.67. In the majors he had a BB/9 of 4.96. Notice that he jumped not 1, not 2, but THREE levels and still improved his BB/9.
At age 22 EB was in A+ and had a BB/9 of 2.43
Let's keep this going to show some other key points.
At age 23 AL was injured.
At age 23 EB was in AA. He had a BB/9 of 3.91. Notice that a year older than Loewen, Bedard was unable to match his BB/9 in the high minor leagues.
At age 24 Bedard was injured.
At age 25 EB was in MLB. He had a BB/9 of 4.65 Notice that despite the fact that he was 3 years older than AL when they each cleared 100 IP in the majors, EB's BB/9 was just barely less than AL's
At age 26 EB brings his BB/9 down to 3.62
At age 27 EB brings his BB/9 down to 3.16
At age 28 EB brings his BB/9 down to 2.81.
Now, you can never predict with certainty how a player is going to adjust and progress. But, this notion that AL is completely different than EB ignores the facts. I guarantee you that neither Yoda nor anyone else was predicting where Bedard would be in 2006-07 in 2004. AL showed in 180+ IP as a 22 year old that he could achieve the levels of control that EB did as a 25 year old. The question is whether he can recover from the injury the way Bedard did and take the necessary steps to continue to improve his control. But, the facts show that prior to last year, AL was AHEAD of EB in development at age 22.
"I don't want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to chase it."