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What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

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Re: What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

Postby HydoBomb25 » Fri Mar 07, 2008 12:25 am

If he has the great light, i could see him steal 25, possibly 30 bases

Does that make me crazy? :-D ....likely
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Re: What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

Postby AussieDodger » Fri Mar 07, 2008 12:35 am

HydoBomb25 wrote:If he has the great light, i could see him steal 25, possibly 30 bases

Does that make me crazy? :-D ....likely


Manny Acta has already said he can steal 30 if he shows he can steal efficiently. (Cut back on CS)
I think 15/30 .280 is a reasonable thing to hope for.
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Re: What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

Postby davidmarver » Fri Mar 07, 2008 7:32 pm

bigh0rt wrote:
davidmarver wrote:I don't think he could hit any of my breaking pitches.

Yet he'd probably be the Padres' best outfielder.

In what, fantasy? Because in real-life value, Milledge isn't better than Brian Giles in 2008. Projections also have Chase Headley about equivalent to Milledge this season, and that's before adjusting for Petco.
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Re: What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

Postby bigh0rt » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:45 pm

davidmarver wrote:
bigh0rt wrote:
davidmarver wrote:I don't think he could hit any of my breaking pitches.

Yet he'd probably be the Padres' best outfielder.

In what, fantasy? Because in real-life value, Milledge isn't better than Brian Giles in 2008. Projections also have Chase Headley about equivalent to Milledge this season, and that's before adjusting for Petco.

I'll take that bet.
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Re: What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

Postby OneLoveBoomer » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:48 pm

I'll double down that bet. :-D
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Re: What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

Postby davidmarver » Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:24 pm

bigh0rt wrote:
davidmarver wrote:
bigh0rt wrote:Yet he'd probably be the Padres' best outfielder.

In what, fantasy? Because in real-life value, Milledge isn't better than Brian Giles in 2008. Projections also have Chase Headley about equivalent to Milledge this season, and that's before adjusting for Petco.

I'll take that bet.

OPS+, RC/27, what else? And I'll accept whatever wager it is, if you stand by your original prediction that he'll outproduce every Padres outfielder (meaning you get Milledge, I get Giles, Headley, Edmonds, Hairston, or whoever else emerges out there).
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Re: What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

Postby Surfs up » Sat Mar 08, 2008 12:00 pm

Seems like the majority of the cafes poster think hes gojng to be worth grabbing late. If he's there ate the end I'll take a shot with him.
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Re: What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

Postby in10s » Sat Mar 08, 2008 1:54 pm

AussieDodger wrote:
HydoBomb25 wrote:If he has the great light, i could see him steal 25, possibly 30 bases

Does that make me crazy? :-D ....likely


Manny Acta has already said he can steal 30 if he shows he can steal efficiently. (Cut back on CS)
I think 15/30 .280 is a reasonable thing to hope for.


Key issue here is what Acta said about efficiency. I read some where (I thought it was here on the cafe, but now I can't find it) that Acta is a real believer in saber metrics. And the math shows you need a 75% success rate to make SBs add value. (here is a link on that 75% figure: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/artic ... cleid=2607)

So, it seems that Acta will give Milledge a chance, but if he is caught more than 1 out of ever 4 tries the green light will probably get turned off.
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Re: What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

Postby OneLoveBoomer » Mon Mar 10, 2008 1:36 pm

Milledge is currently batting .387 with 5SBs. He got a hit off Verlander today, after which he stole his 5th.
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Re: What are your thoughts on Lastings Milledge?

Postby bigh0rt » Wed Mar 12, 2008 8:17 am

davidmarver wrote:
bigh0rt wrote:
davidmarver wrote:In what, fantasy? Because in real-life value, Milledge isn't better than Brian Giles in 2008. Projections also have Chase Headley about equivalent to Milledge this season, and that's before adjusting for Petco.

I'll take that bet.

OPS+, RC/27, what else? And I'll accept whatever wager it is, if you stand by your original prediction that he'll outproduce every Padres outfielder (meaning you get Milledge, I get Giles, Headley, Edmonds, Hairston, or whoever else emerges out there).

Well, to specify, you said that Giles was better than Milledge in '08, but I'll stand by Milledge being better than every Padre OF this season. OPS+, RC/27, how about Auction $ Value? Hell, we can even use 5x5 categories, and bring it to the fantasy forefront (even though you specified real-life value). Whatever we settle on works for me. How about we use OPS+, RC/27, $ Value, and 5x5, and if Milledge out-earns every Padre OF in 3 of the 4, I win, if any Padre out-earns Milledge in 3 of the 4, you win, and if it's a wash, we'll call it a draw? Sig bet, for the duration of the MLB Playoffs. Fair enough?
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