HydoBomb25 wrote:If he has the great light, i could see him steal 25, possibly 30 bases
Does that make me crazy? ....likely
Manny Acta has already said he can steal 30 if he shows he can steal efficiently. (Cut back on CS) I think 15/30 .280 is a reasonable thing to hope for.
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davidmarver wrote:I don't think he could hit any of my breaking pitches.
Yet he'd probably be the Padres' best outfielder.
In what, fantasy? Because in real-life value, Milledge isn't better than Brian Giles in 2008. Projections also have Chase Headley about equivalent to Milledge this season, and that's before adjusting for Petco.
davidmarver wrote:I don't think he could hit any of my breaking pitches.
Yet he'd probably be the Padres' best outfielder.
In what, fantasy? Because in real-life value, Milledge isn't better than Brian Giles in 2008. Projections also have Chase Headley about equivalent to Milledge this season, and that's before adjusting for Petco.
bigh0rt wrote:Yet he'd probably be the Padres' best outfielder.
In what, fantasy? Because in real-life value, Milledge isn't better than Brian Giles in 2008. Projections also have Chase Headley about equivalent to Milledge this season, and that's before adjusting for Petco.
I'll take that bet.
OPS+, RC/27, what else? And I'll accept whatever wager it is, if you stand by your original prediction that he'll outproduce every Padres outfielder (meaning you get Milledge, I get Giles, Headley, Edmonds, Hairston, or whoever else emerges out there).
HydoBomb25 wrote:If he has the great light, i could see him steal 25, possibly 30 bases
Does that make me crazy? ....likely
Manny Acta has already said he can steal 30 if he shows he can steal efficiently. (Cut back on CS) I think 15/30 .280 is a reasonable thing to hope for.
Key issue here is what Acta said about efficiency. I read some where (I thought it was here on the cafe, but now I can't find it) that Acta is a real believer in saber metrics. And the math shows you need a 75% success rate to make SBs add value. (here is a link on that 75% figure: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/artic ... cleid=2607)
So, it seems that Acta will give Milledge a chance, but if he is caught more than 1 out of ever 4 tries the green light will probably get turned off.
davidmarver wrote:In what, fantasy? Because in real-life value, Milledge isn't better than Brian Giles in 2008. Projections also have Chase Headley about equivalent to Milledge this season, and that's before adjusting for Petco.
I'll take that bet.
OPS+, RC/27, what else? And I'll accept whatever wager it is, if you stand by your original prediction that he'll outproduce every Padres outfielder (meaning you get Milledge, I get Giles, Headley, Edmonds, Hairston, or whoever else emerges out there).
Well, to specify, you said that Giles was better than Milledge in '08, but I'll stand by Milledge being better than every Padre OF this season. OPS+, RC/27, how about Auction $ Value? Hell, we can even use 5x5 categories, and bring it to the fantasy forefront (even though you specified real-life value). Whatever we settle on works for me. How about we use OPS+, RC/27, $ Value, and 5x5, and if Milledge out-earns every Padre OF in 3 of the 4, I win, if any Padre out-earns Milledge in 3 of the 4, you win, and if it's a wash, we'll call it a draw? Sig bet, for the duration of the MLB Playoffs. Fair enough?