Those of you interested in the best projection systems might want to take a look at Tom Tango's comparison:http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.p ... esults/#30
The take away message? Here's Tom's suggestion:
"If every forecaster out there will agree to the following statement, I will stop this now seemingly pointless exercise: I, as a professional forecaster, concede that when it comes time to forecasting the rate stats of hitters, that I provide very little value compared to Marcel The Monkey and The Community.
Pete Palmer has said as much in an email. Rally has said as much in various posts. MGL, Nate, Ron Shandler, Gassko, Sackmann, Tippett, Bill James: do you concede the point? Show of hands please. "
"I don't want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to chase it."