cards05 wrote:GTWMA can probably provide you a link to the studies comparing the success of the various projection systems. I don't remember the specifics, just that Pecota was consitsently on top.
here is a thread which discusses a lot of it, and the authors of PECOTA, CHONE, ZIPS, and MARCEL all chime in. basically they are all fairly similar, but PECOTA does the best with younger player, which imo is very important for fantasy. if you can get a $1 rookie to perform like the $20 Adrian Beltre some other guy bought...well you know the deal
unfortunately, baseball HQ is not included in that thread