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Is my math wrong???

Is my math wrong???

Postby ThePen » Thu Feb 21, 2008 11:12 pm

In the league I will be playing in (ESPN), the best hitter (ARod) got 678 points last year. The top pitchers (over a dozen of them) all got more then 800 points with some topping 1000! There just seems to be some significant point differences between the top hitters and the top pitchers in favor of the pitchers.

I read everywhere that pitchers, in general, should be grabbed later then hitters. Shouldn't I draft the highest point getters first?

In fantasy football, I was told to get a runningback first, however, the biggest point getters by far were the QB's (in the league I was in). This hurt me this season as I listened to others and got a running back and ended up with no good QB. Don't want to make the same mistake in my baseball draft.

I appreciate any feedback.

-Mark
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Re: Is my math wrong???

Postby mission27 » Fri Feb 22, 2008 12:02 am

in some points leagues pitchers will earn more than hitters, however in 99% of roto leagues hitters are more valuable becauase they contribute in 5 cats while a starter (w,k,era,whip) and closer (sv,k,era,whip) only realy contribute in 4. Also hitters are much more predictable. What are your points cats? If its like 10 for starters and like 5 for hitters than yeah go starters early.
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Re: Is my math wrong???

Postby ThePen » Fri Feb 22, 2008 12:14 am

Below are the points categories. Also, this is a H2H league - if that makes a difference.

Doubles (2B) 2 Triples (3B) 3
Home Runs (HR) 4 Singles (1B) 1
Walks (BB) 1 Hit by Pitch (HBP) 1
Runs Scored (R) 1 Runs Batted In (RBI) 1
Stolen Bases (SB) 1 Caught Stealing (CS) -1
Strikeouts (K) -1 Hitting for the Cycle (CYC) 10
Errors (E) -1
Pitching
Innings Pitched (IP) 3 Walks Issued (BB) -1
Earned Runs (ER) -1 Strikeouts (K) 1
Wild Pitches (WP) -1 Balks (B) -1
Wins (W) 10 Losses (L) -5
Saves (SV) 5 Blown Saves (BS) -5
Quality Starts (QS) 3 Shutouts (SO) 6
No Hitters (NH) 20 Perfect Games (PG) 50
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Re: Is my math wrong???

Postby mission27 » Fri Feb 22, 2008 2:49 am

yeah that weird points system that obviously favors pitchers. I mean you loose the same for an ER (a huge event) as you gain for a k (a lesser event). You gain more for a win (10) than you loose for a loss (5). Draft the top-tier dependable pitchers and you should win.
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Re: Is my math wrong???

Postby Tavish » Fri Feb 22, 2008 12:39 pm

You math is probably correct, but the difference between what pitchers earn and what hitters earn doesn't really matter. You need to compare against other players who are competing for those same roster spots.

Example:
Peavy earns 1000 points and an average pitcher earns 700. Taking Peavy will give you a 300 point advantage over waiting and taking an average pitcher.
A-Rod earns 700 points and an average hitter earns 350. Taking A-Rod will give you a 350 point advantage over waiting and taking an average hitter.

So even though the Peavy will actually out-earn A-Rod by a large margin, your team might be better off with A-Rod (Peavy + average hitter = 1350 vs A-Rod + average pitcher = 1400). Take a look through the final point values and look further down than just the top few spots to get a better idea of where the best value is.
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Re: Is my math wrong???

Postby ThePen » Fri Feb 22, 2008 2:39 pm

Here is the way I'm looking at it.
My league is H2H - 22 week season.

Top Hitters avg 26 points a week (this is a little generous)

Top Pitchers avg 36 points a week (this is being very conservative)

My first several picks should be pitchers, most bang for my buck.
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