For the most part the first few rounds arent going to make or break your team..unless you pull a total bonehead move. Lets talk about middle to late round players who have the potential or ability to help out more than their draft position indicates. These are the guys that make your season...or guys that progressed late in the season last year and look to build this season that some may have forgotten about...a la Weeks (strong 2nd half)
I know that Hamilton has been talked about a lot as high upside. He doesnt have to deal with the Reds crowded OF and has 5 tool potential...unjuries are a concern but has a Rios type ceiling I think if healthy.
AllDay wrote:Both guys probably have a bigger chance to underperform their draft positions.
Weeks you know will miss time with injury
With Hamilton you can't be sure if it will be injury or drug suspension - but I think I'd rather take a young player with upside who doesn't have injury and drug issues to worry about.
I don't think you can know that Weeks will miss time with an injury, sure he is a little riskier than others but it isn't some huge risk. He hurt his thumb in 2005 and he played through it, which is just something that happens to ballplayers. He hurt his wrist in 2006 and they were very up front saying that it would probably bother him all of 2007 and it did. He was a bad pick in 2007 because they knew he would have issues all yaer, but he is a good pick in 2008, you have to really look into these injury issues before judging the player.
I'd be more worried with Hamilton given his history.
Pogotheostrich wrote:In the mocks I've seen Weeks is off the board around the 7th round. Hamilton is going much later but I don't see a Rios type ceiling. He isn't going to steal any bases but he could hit 30 HR.
Why do you say Hamilton will not steal "any" bases? Washington likes to run a little bit more than the average manager. I would expect Hamilton to wind up with 10+ SBs. Granted he only stole 3 last year, but this was in an abbreviated season, and he is 47 for 59 over ~1200 ABs in his minors career. The potential for at least 10 and maybe more is there.