Tavish wrote: MTUCache wrote:
Tavish wrote:Hopefully his new shape will translate into near 40 HR or people are seriously overpaying for him in drafts.
I haven't seen any (realistic) projections yet which have anything better than .320/105/125/35/5... don't know whether that qualifies him as being "overpaid" for or not, but 35 HR is the highest I've seen projected for him.
That looks close to what I have, I have him with a few less HRs and a few more Runs. Those numbers don't justify a top 7 pick IMO.
Well... being a Tiger-homer I can guarantee you he's not getting past #3 or #4 in most drafts around here... but I'm honestly not sure how that would translate to a non-Tigerfanboy draft.
With those projections as his numbers, it definitely puts him in my top ten, and I feel a lot more confident about his stability and return-on-investment than several other first-rounders which I consider "gambles" (HanRam, Reyes, Pujols, Braun, etc)...
In my mocks so far I've taken him (and seen him taken) around #5. I'll admit there's a fanboy factor in there for me as well (wishful thinking), but like I said, I feel he's a "safer" pick than several other top-10 projections.
To be honest, this is why I'm really hoping not to have picks #2-#5 this year.... I really don't want
to draft any of the four guys I mentioned above in the first. I want
to take MCab in the first, I'm just not happy doing it before #6 or #7.
Last edited by MTUCache on Tue Feb 19, 2008 11:49 am, edited 1 time in total.