by MrE » Mon Feb 18, 2008 12:19 pm
Your starting pitching and relief pitching is extremely good. You definitely made sure that your pitching corps at the start of the season has the chance to be the best in the league.
Your offensive lineup is questionable. If everything goes right for you (Tejada rebounds, Hamilton explodes in Texas, Rowand duplicates last year, Pena's average/power is for real), your going to have an amazing team. Realistically, I would break it down like this:
A) Tejada is going to have a slight resurgence, but do not expect the 150 RBIs. I would guess somewhere around 24 HR, .300 AVG, with 110 RBIs. This is higher than most predictions, but he is now moving into a loaded lineup and an even better RH power hitters park. Risk = reasonable.
B) Hamilton is going to improve on last season, but I'm not sure that I agree with the 30/100 predictions yet. He could very easily get there, but I'm still questioning his health. Risk = reasonable
C) Rowand is not going to duplicate last years numbers. I just cannot fathom him playing a full season again, and keeping a .320+ average/30 HR in the Giants ballpark. I think his numbers were inflated by the Phillies ballpark, so I would project him to hit around .285/20 HR. Risk = Medium
D) Carlos Pena could be a 1 year wonder, or he could be finally reaching his potential. The power and one base skills have always been there. The ability to hit above .250 never has. If he has truly turned the corner, this pick is going to be a spectacular one, as he outproduced even Teixiera last season. Risk = Medium-high
Ways to improve - I would look at anyone that is going to produce offensively. Braun can easily move to the OF or Utility spot on your team. If you see a good IF or OF - pick him up. I would recommend dropping Wakefield to do this as he is unnecessary on your team and clearly the weakest link. You definitely need speed....maybe look for a guy like Michael Bourn?
- MrE -