I've tried this exact same thing twice before, and actually just finished the draft for my 3rd try. I had very different results for my 2 previous attempts. (5x5, 12 teams)
2 years ago - finished 1st place; Offense flourished and averaged about 11's; Relievers/closers got me 12's in Saves/ERA/WHIP, and took last in wins and K's.
1 year ago - finished 9th; Offense was marginal when Hafner/Dye slumped badly and my hitters underperformed overall; Relievers/closers got me about 8's in S/ERA/WHIP, last in wins'K's; so, I finished poorly
I have learned that in order for this to work, the offensive studs you draft have to be extremely solid. Your offense has to dominate, and if you draft any weak links or if people don't perform, you're sunk. My relievers the 2nd year didn't perform well enough to win my 3 pitching cats. You need a great draft and lots of luck, and a well-balanced team can easily take you down in a 12-teamer, since you can only get 98 points (8 12's and 2 1's).
"I've failed over and over again in my life. And that is why I succeed." - Michael Jordan
If this is a 10 team mixed league 5x5, then punting categories is absolutely not a good idea. With only 10 teams in a mixed, you should be able to piece together an all star team! Seriously, no reason to punt. Plus, you can "punt" saves in the draft by drafting lower level closers late...thereby not really punting the category, but picking up closers in waiting late and during the year.
Plus, most leagues that are considered "competitive", have a minimum innings pitched requirement that a team must meet...put in place to prevent the "all relievers" approach.
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quicksilver8 wrote:If this is a 10 team mixed league 5x5, then punting categories is absolutely not a good idea. With only 10 teams in a mixed, you should be able to piece together an all star team! Seriously, no reason to punt. Plus, you can "punt" saves in the draft by drafting lower level closers late...thereby not really punting the category, but picking up closers in waiting late and during the year.
Plus, most leagues that are considered "competitive", have a minimum innings pitched requirement that a team must meet...put in place to prevent the "all relievers" approach.
I think this is a very overlooked point. If it is a mixed league with only 10 teams it is a shallow league, and you should have a well balanced and solid team throughout. Not a good idea to try this strategy.
Haha, guy in my 10 team money league does it every year, and he won last year. But people get stupid in my league and trading him the hitting he needs to win for his JJ Putz or Joe Nathan. But it is a disadvantage for everyone else because instead of picking a solid starter in the 4th round, they can take another bat and have a deeper hitting squad.
Thats why this year we have a minimum of 800 innings pitched.
Seems like bad strategy to me getting 32 of 50 pitching points isn't hard, I don't see that as impressive incentive. Not only that, but you are forced to take elite closers because 65 IP of a 3.50 ERA from mediocore closer is going to be far more damaging than had you drafted starters. So you are forced to take closers like Paps, JJ, or Nathan, and whoever you feel is a worthy compliment if not 2 from that 1st tier. Forces your hand too much IMO as you are forcing your draft strategy early in the draft to allow you more value/felxibility late in the draft(the ability to pick up elite MR and SU men so late that whatever rounds you would of taken SP would be more focused on hitting).
It's so unlikely that you can win a roto league punting 2 categories. In my 9-team NL-only league last year, I unintentionally finished last in wins. Even though I finished first in EVERY offensive category, I still had to scramble at the end to finish in a tie for first. If I had punted another category, I would've had no chance.
Your claim that 72 points *should* be enough to win. I don't disagree with that, but 72 points is only gained under the assumption that everything goes perfectly. Given that it's a 10-team mixed, I don't think you're guaranteed 40 points on offense even under your strategy. There are going to be plenty of good hitting options that are taken late in the draft and discovered from the WW during the year because your league's so shallow.
I think this strategy is much more viable in a big, deep league. In a shallow league, you're going to be in trouble I think.
Subes is at the bar wrote:See I realize punting categories is questionable but by punting Ws and Ks you're going to start only RPs, and RPs that qualify at SP in your SP spots. How many have to be closers to lock up Saves? 5? The rest you don't even have to draft or you could even draft 3 closers and fill in as you go as your Middle Relievers get closing spots. The ratios of top Middle Relievers are so much better than "high value starters" that you'd lock in 32 pitching points.
This is the problem every year. The general consensus, which I believe, is that most pitching is more volatile then hitting, and that holds true for MR as well. You can't identify who those top notch MRs are until about 1/3 of the way through the season. And by then, it may be too late for such a strategy.
I tried something similar to this about four years ago in a couple of different leagues. In one it was a H2H 6x6 weekly roto. There I drafted closers early and often (if I remember correctly, 2 elite by rd 6, 3 by 10, and 5 overall, plus MR on top of that). However, I was surprised at how average my hitting was. I was taking RP when others were taking SP, so my hitting basically compared to everyone else.
The second time I did it with a little more success. It was 2/3 through a roto season and I was getting clobbered in W and Ks (bottom 3 overall in those cats). I think I had a couple of bad injuries and I was in place 9 or 10 of 12 teams. I basically traded away all my remaining SP for hitters and RP, making sure I got the closers who had SP eligibility. I made up ground, but only moved up into 6th place. I was pretty happy with that result because it was way more respectable than a 9th or 10th place finish.
Either way I don't recommend starting with that strategy.
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I just tried this in a 12 team mock draft and here is the team I ended up with. Let me know if you would be happy with it. I was drafting from the 6th position:
C - Victor Martinez 1B - Todd Helton 2B - Robinson Cano SS - Jose Reyes 3B - Chipper Jones OF - Alfonso Soriano OF - Manny Ramirez OF - Aaron Rowand UTI - Jeff Kent / Michael Cuddyer / Jermain Dye
P - Carlos Zambrano P - AJ Burnett RP - JJ Putz RP - Takashi Saito RP - Mariano Rivera RP - Jason Isringhause RP - Jonathon Broxton
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