Subes is at the bar wrote:Now this only works if you get a killer offense... Doesn't that start with having a great offensive draft? Well only having to draft 3 or 4 pitchers sure helps... and you could even take them last since you'll accomplish your pitching goals with quantity over quality and in Roto you can be patient.
Let's say the offense you put together gets 40 points or average 8/10 in each cat, that's 72 points. Should easily win most leagues...
Problem is you're not just trying to win saves, your trying to win ERA and WHIP also. That means you can't afford third rank closers, you need at least a couple of the top guys, e.g. Nathan, Putz, or Papelbon. Those guys will go fairly early. From the Mock Draft central ADPs I'm seeing:
Thats 4th - 6th rounds for those guys.
Now there are other closers that have nice ERA's and WHIPs, but can you count on those guys every year? The top guys are gone by the 7th, and if your drafting them you aint drafting all the top bats. The second rank of closers is gone by the 10th, and the third rank you may not know their names yet, e.g. Corpas and Capps. Where were they during draft day last year, and who knew their rate cats would wind up to be that good?
So IMO the issue is that you can't guarantee winning ERA and WHIP unless you fill out most of your closers before the 10th round, and if you do that then your offensive draft will suffer.
Actually I like to see people trying new strategies. I don't think this strategy will work, but I could be wrong about that. I've never tried a punt in roto, but did win a league once while finishing last in a cat (avg), so I'd say its doable. Hey give it a shot, it may be fun.
Just tell us how it turned out.