PECOTA's Breakout Pitchers
Dallas Braden-Sensing a pattern? Coming in at 48%, his skill set clearly shows that he is a major league quality pitcher, and an ERA in the low fours is not out of the question. PECOTA gives him a 4.64 projection, and BaseballHQ gives him a 4.34 ERA but a 4.02 xERA. For an undoubted $1 price tag that is very juicy, and if he gets 150 IP he will be a huge bargain. Well, at least he didnt have an ERA over seven, coming in at 6.72.
I have suggested Braden a couple of times in sleeper threads as a deep sleeper and been laughed at.
Patrick DiCaprio and PECOTA are very correct in this instance.