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kosuke fukudome

Postby perlick29 » Thu Feb 14, 2008 3:31 pm

Just trying to catch up on guys I don't know much about. I'm sure there may have been topics on him, but if some of you could give me your projections, analysis, rankings etc before I get my BP copy in a week, that'd be great. Thanks.
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Re: kosuke fukudome

Postby J35J » Thu Feb 14, 2008 5:20 pm

Just a late flyer type of pick, IMO. I'm not expecting anymore than...

0.275-.280 avg
12-14 hr
70ish rbi
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Re: kosuke fukudome

Postby KoopaTroopa211 » Thu Feb 14, 2008 5:42 pm

He's got skills; we've seen that from his Japanese League stats. The question becomes how long he takes to adjust.

I'll peg him (perhaps a little generously) at around .280/20/80. It'll definitely help to be playing in a lineup with good offense.
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Re: kosuke fukudome

Postby Ender » Thu Feb 14, 2008 5:48 pm

I'd pay for 15 HR, 10 SB and a little less than fulltime play. Maybe a 4th or 5th OF in a deeper league but I think he is a bench guy in a 3 OF league.
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Re: kosuke fukudome

Postby MasterX1918 » Thu Feb 14, 2008 6:33 pm

I think he has potential but i'm not touching him with a 10 foot poll unless he falls to me in the last 2 rounds of my draft. I'd rather draft Hermida, Ibanez and friends and be safe.
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Re: kosuke fukudome

Postby Tavish » Thu Feb 14, 2008 7:37 pm

It will be interesting to see where he ends up in the Cubs lineup. I doubt he will be much more than a #7 type hitter, but if he can find a way to bat in front of A-Ram and Lee his value should increase some based on the periphs alone.
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Re: kosuke fukudome

Postby moochman » Thu Feb 14, 2008 8:21 pm

Worth taking a flier on but I wouldn't want to depend on him to produce. Japanese leagues power numbers seem unreliable when trying to transfer them to mlb, and I like power from my OF. Is Godzilla the only import that has hit for major league power?
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Re: kosuke fukudome

Postby The Big Train » Fri Feb 15, 2008 4:22 am

PECOTA loves him if you are into projections: .289/.401/.504. I might buy the OBP projection, but not the slugging. (As a late round pick, that would be an insane bargain for a league that uses OPS like mine does). PECOTA‘s top comparison is J.D. Drew. He missed a portion of last year due to elbow surgery so spring training should be interesting to watch. PECOTA also mentioned the possibility of moving Fukudome into the lead-off position due to his OBP skills while moving Soriano into an RBI slot in the Cubs lineup. I think it’s fair to say that the chances of that happening are zilch, especially if the Cubs were to get Brian Roberts. But if Soriano gets injured, maybe it’s an option. Most articles I have read indicate that he will likely hit fifth, protecting Aramis Ramirez. The Cubs were dead last in the NL last year in terms of RBI’s from the number 5 position with just 75. The league average from that position was 92. The Cubs number 5 hitters collectively had a paltry OBP of .321. I can’t imagine Fukudome doing worse than 75 RBI’s if he’s in that spot most of the year and maintains a solid OBP like he did in Japan.
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Re: kosuke fukudome

Postby stumpak » Fri Feb 15, 2008 11:13 am

[quote="J35J"]Just a late flyer type of pick, IMO. I'm not expecting anymore than...

0.275-.280 avg
12-14 hr
70ish rbi[/quote]

Agree with this. Get Randy Winn off of the WW and you will get better expected performance with less downside.
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Re: kosuke fukudome

Postby Ender » Fri Feb 15, 2008 11:21 am

stumpak wrote:
J35J wrote:Just a late flyer type of pick, IMO. I'm not expecting anymore than...

0.275-.280 avg
12-14 hr
70ish rbi


Agree with this. Get Randy Winn off of the WW and you will get better expected performance with less downside.


Woah now, I can't agree with that advice at all. You shouldn't be trying to avoid downside at that point in the draft, you should be drafting for upside and Winn has basically none at all. If you have reached the point in your draft that you are thinking of drafting or picking up Randy Winn you should grab Fukudome first every time.
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