I'm looking at SB for next year and have Reyes penciled in for around 70. Now normally I'd have Pierre down for around 60 but his playing time is in question so I'm not sure how many he'll get. Then I've got Crawford, H-Ram, and Figgins with around 50. I might be crazy but with Pierre losing AB Reyes should have around 20 more SB than the next closest player. So the question I have is does Pierre's downfall equal a bump in your rankings for Reyes?
I think 70 is a lot to bank on. In any case, I live and die by cheap steals so I never end up with a Reyes, Crawford, Ichiro types. So no, I am not bumping up Reyes any higher.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
J35J wrote:I still wouldn't draft him in the top 8-10....
Ditto.
Reyes' value can't really increase much more because of Pierre being rightfully benched, he's already a top ten pick and his terrible second half doesn't help.
Pogotheostrich wrote:So the question I have is does Pierre's downfall equal a bump in your rankings for Reyes?
A bump of what kind? He's already listed as top-10 in many draft lists.
There are plenty of other sources for SB; I don't think you can justify moving him any higher just because Pierre isn't as valuable.
Presumably, though, if Pierre gets less playing time, the supposition is that the total number of stolen bases in your fantasy league is going to decline by some amount (probably 40 some total SBs fewer). In that case, each SB is worth slightly more than it would be if Pierre was stealing 60....thus bumping Reyes' value slightly.
In a 12-team league, though, 40 SBs is only going to be like 3% of the total. I think this would have much more marginal impact on those "cheap SB" guys.
The players that Pierre loses playtime to will also get some SB though so not all of his SB are lost. There are also always guys who emerge as SB threats. A guy like Rajai Davis could easily come in and replace Pierre in the charts.
Last edited by Ender on Tue Feb 12, 2008 4:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
mak1277 wrote:Presumably, though, if Pierre gets less playing time, the supposition is that the total number of stolen bases in your fantasy league is going to decline by some amount (probably 40 some total SBs fewer). In that case, each SB is worth slightly more than it would be if Pierre was stealing 60....thus bumping Reyes' value slightly.
In a 12-team league, though, 40 SBs is only going to be like 3% of the total. I think this would have much more marginal impact on those "cheap SB" guys.
That's pretty much it. Add in the fact that those cheap SB guys take up roster spots. No single player in fantasy baseball has a chance to impact any one category as much as a healthy Reyes can impact SB.
mak1277 wrote:Presumably, though, if Pierre gets less playing time, the supposition is that the total number of stolen bases in your fantasy league is going to decline by some amount (probably 40 some total SBs fewer). In that case, each SB is worth slightly more than it would be if Pierre was stealing 60....thus bumping Reyes' value slightly.
In a 12-team league, though, 40 SBs is only going to be like 3% of the total. I think this would have much more marginal impact on those "cheap SB" guys.
That's pretty much it. Add in the fact that those cheap SB guys take up roster spots. No single player in fantasy baseball has a chance to impact any one category as much as a healthy Reyes can impact SB.
Totally agree. I have him in my keeper as a first rounder so it doesn't affect me, but others are scrambling it seems in the draft because one guy has Crawford, Hanley, and Ichiro and I have Hart, Markakis, and Reyes. People are reaching for random guys that have some cheap steals and are compromising there team
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by Pogotheostrich » Tue Feb 12, 2008 3:24 pm 
