1. Scott Kazmir (I hate you Steve Phillips I hate you) I'm ok now 2. Cole Hamels 3. Matt Cain 4. Felix Hernandez 5. Tim Lincecum 6. Francisco Liriano (I have him at 24, might be wrong) 7. Fausto Carmona 8. Jonathan Broxton 9. Yovani Gallardo 10. Chad Billingsley 11. Joakim Soria 12. Phil Hughes 13. Joba Chamberlain 14. Carlos Villanueva 15. Kevin Slowey 16. Matt Garza 17. Ian Kennedy
If you are referring to the Scott Kazmir trade as your reasoning for hating Steve Phillips, remember that Jim Duquette was the GM at the time. Jim Duquette's most recent job was with the Orioles. He has recently been let go. Good job he did.
Anyways, any other reason for hating him I totally agree...
I've got Jimenez at a 10/4.00/1.30/140 season with around 150 IP... if those aren't your numbers then you'll obviously have to adjust.
That puts him at around a negative 4.0 in this group...
Better than Garza and Sonnanstine, but definitely not on my radar unless I'm missing something.
(Let me guess... you've got him down for a 15/3.40/1.30/190 season)... that would put him just ahead of Gallardo. But, like I said, I'm not seeing those numbers unless I'm missing something (which I definitely could be).
Hamels (Hamels and Kaz are interchangeable for me, Kaz has a much higher upside but he is also more inconsistant, while both have injury histories) Kazmir
Cain (Cain, Felix, Lincy, Gallardo are all very close together for me, with Carmona just a tick below them) Felix Lincecum Gallardo Carmona
Billingsley Buchholz (Love this kid) Joba
Greinke Hughes (Just a gut feeling he'll be streaky this year and will throw 20-30 less IP than Greinke)
Garza (has much more to work on than anyone else in the list)
What he did last year was no fluke in my view. So the question is, can he stay healthy? He's been remarkably durable as a pro. Listed at 6-1, 210, he doesn't have the prototype 6-4, 210 pound pitcher's body and may have to watch his weight as he gets older. But he repeats his delivery well, and appears to have a resilient arm. I don't think his injury risk is any higher than it is for any other pitcher his age, and perhaps it's a bit lower.
I could see Gallardo being a pitcher who is best in his early-to-mid-20s, then gradually fading as he approaches 30. My guess is that his best years will be in the next five, and that eventually he'll become "just" an inning-eating starter. Assuming he stays healthy, Gallardo should be recognized as Number One starter and among the best pitchers in baseball in the 2008-2012 window, but that by 2014 he'll be more of an inning-eater type. An early peak, followed by a very gradual decline in other words. No massive sudden shock injury, but rather a slow loss of effectiveness as his arm wears down.
Sickels also mentions that Gallardo is set up for a 5-6 year window of very good pitching before he hits this presumed decline (which I don't buy, but who knows). So for this year anyway, I think very highly of Gallardo. He should put up good ERA/WHIP/K numbers while also being a team that should support him with plenty of offense.