Javy Lopez - where to draft?

[fezzik]

Lopez is coming off a year he's doubtful ever to repeat, but other things are setting up in his favor...

-new hitters ballpark

-batting cleanup

-part of his contract stipulates he must maintain his weight/muscle mass

but then I think...

-moving to a new league is tough when you must face pitchers you've never seen

-he's not surrounded with Furcal, Giles, Sheff, C.Jones, A.Jones, Castilla...(although Mora, Matos, Tejada, Palmeiro, Gibbons isn't too shabby)

so where should I value him in a standard yahoo! H2H league...is he a late 2nd rounder? a late 3rd rounder? a middle 4th rounder? I'm a little unsure...any ideas?

[Bukoski77]

I see him going around the 5th or 6th round in 12 team leagues. Any sooner then yes that owner got their picks worth if he comes close to last year,but he is on just about everyones bust of the year list.

[GSes]

I have Javy ranked #2 behind Posada

1. Posada
2. Javy
3. Piazza
4. Pudge

I wouldn't take him 2 early though. I fully expect Javy to produce again this season.

Maybe

300 AVG
30 HR
100 RBI
90 Runs

[GSes]

I don't see Javy as a bust. I have many reason why he will excel in Baltimore. I think he will be fine even if he only hits 20 HR and 80 RBI and 300 AVG that is still very good production from the C.

[j_d_mcnugent]

another plus is the he will likely get some at bats as DH. in theory, more at bats + better rested should equal good numbers. he might be a bust in comparison to last year but i think he will still be a very productive catcher.

[fezzik]

ok, thanks...sometimes the lack of depth at Catcher makes me over value them...it's just so hard for me to ignore his numbers from last year, and if he maintains his bulk, he could be a force again...I guess I'll just see if he drops far enough for him to be a bargain...thanks

[GSes]

another plus is the he will likely get some at bats as DH. in theory, more at bats + better rested should equal good numbers. he might be a bust in comparison to last year but i think he will still be a very productive catcher.

I meant to include that in my post. That is one of my main reasons as to why he will excel in Baltimore

[justinA]

Lopez is coming off a year he's doubtful ever to repeat, but other things are setting up in his favor...

-new hitters ballpark

-batting cleanup

-part of his contract stipulates he must maintain his weight/muscle mass

but then I think...

-moving to a new league is tough when you must face pitchers you've never seen

-he's not surrounded with Furcal, Giles, Sheff, C.Jones, A.Jones, Castilla...(although Mora, Matos, Tejada, Palmeiro, Gibbons isn't too shabby)

so where should I value him in a standard yahoo! H2H league...is he a late 2nd rounder? a late 3rd rounder? a middle 4th rounder? I'm a little unsure...any ideas?

he's probably not going to hit clean-up. Most likely 5th behind Palmeiro, Miggy, Hairston, and Mora. But with that saud, even at 5th he will have protection from Gibbons behind him.

[Bukoski77]

Do you guys see him going before the 5th even concedeing he isnt going to be a bust?