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Postby NZF » Tue Feb 17, 2004 10:54 pm

HOOTIE wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
HOOTIE wrote:Webb had such a great rookie year, a decrease is expected. However, just because it's the 2nd year isn't a reason. Only 35% of guys decrease their 2nd year.


35% of hitters or 35% of pitchers?



35% of every player ever. The study didn't break it down by positions.


So does that mean it is possible that 65% of second year pitchers decrease in production.
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Postby HOOTIE » Tue Feb 17, 2004 11:31 pm

New Zealand Fan wrote:How do you know it isn't? The simple answer is you don't. An opinion just like mine. I seem to recall you said the same thing about Gil Meche. Baloney in his case as well. Funny how I've never heard their million dollar plus salaried managers and GM's sharing your opinion.


The fact that neither pitcher ever threw that many innings is a good indicator. You have a better theory?

Anyone that knows bb, can see Meche bottomed out. He threw more inings last year then his previous 3. It's really not hard to pinpoint his 2nd half decrease.
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Postby BigLebowski » Tue Feb 17, 2004 11:45 pm

How tough is it to accept the fact that the more pitches you throw the more fatigued you will become. And for a guy that has never thrown over 160 innings that close to 200 is gonna effect you.

It just seems like it's logic, and doesn't need to be overanalyzed.

I once again agree with Hootie. (but Mulder is better than Zito) ;-)
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