Jackalope wrote:Is the upside of Beckham that far superior to Alvarez? I have read and heard great things about Alvarez.
If Alvarez is (as you said) 2-3 years away. Would a Major League Ready player not be greater trade bait than a guy who is still a few years away. Say for instance this years crop (Ellsbury vs NYM F. Martinez) --- both great but Ellsbury would likely have fetched higher returns in a trade to make a run last season as he is more Major League Ready.
I think at this point a High Schooler with plenty of tools does have a higher upside than an establshed college hitter. Alvarez is fairly projectable, even is it is very high. With Beckham, the sky is the limit. So to answer your question, I think Beckham edges Alvarez with upside.
Also, Beckham plays SS. Its harder to find a premium, solid SS and if you can draft a guy like Tim Beckham who may one day become a star there. All star SS are hard to find, and even harder unless you draft one. Alvarez figures to be a 1B/Cr. OF in the Majors. He wont play 3B. A power hitting 1B/LF is much easier to find than a 5 tool SS.
Now lets jump ahead two years. The Rays' prospects develop and they figure to be competing for a title. They are in second place(2 games back) behind the BoSox and an easy first in the Wild Card. Which do you think is more likely to get you an All Star player from a last place team, 25 year old Pedro Alvarez, who is already seeing Major League time and 1 year left on his deal, or 20 year old Tim Beckham, who ranks First in the Rays Farm System, and a little to no finacial liablity. These teams that will be selling come Trade Deadline when the Rays do go for it are going to look for the future, and Tim Beckham will be a great player to build a team around.
PS- The reason I dont think they will go for Matusz or Crow is because they are loaded
with pitching. They have Sonnanstine, Kazmir, Shields and Garza in the Majors and Price, Davis, McGee, Niemann along with 2 other pitchers in a loaded Top 10 on the way. They simply dont need pitching. You can always have more pitching I suppose, but they have taken pitching 3 of the last 4 years with their first pick in the draft, I see them going for offense this time.
Is pushing for President Obama to pass a law requiring all citizens to be Chicago White Sox fans and make October 1st "White Sox Day" where we all dress as our favorite player. It maybe socialist, but I don't care.