Yoda wrote:That wasn't the point. How can you say something with such conviction without any evidence?
Year/ ERA / IP / SO's
2002 = 3.32 - 116 - 147
2003 = 2.43 - 211.1 - 245
2004 = 4.02 - 118 - 139
2005 = 3.67 - 166.2 - 188
2006 = 7.21 - 43.2 - 38
2007 = Injury - Injury - Injury
Injuries impacted numbers in 2004 and 2006. So when he pitches (2002, 2003, 2005) he has good to great ERA's and great SO/IP ratio. This isn't evidence of a player who epitomizes high risk - high reward? Or are you saying the sample data is too small to be indicative of HR/HR?
I feel the sample data of 6 years is sufficient enough evidence to bring this observation regarding Prior sitting on the throne of HR/HR to the discussion table.
hot4tx wrote:I think he's just saying that Prior, if completely healthy, can put up elite #1 SP stats, which is an upside that very, very few pitchers drafted near him will likely have. He could also put up a big sack of nothing, and play just enough games to keep you hanging on to him all season long.
I think Harden may fall into that category this year. With another year of burning owners, I think he'll slip even lower in drafts this year.
Maybe one of these guys will slip low enough that I'll end up taking a chance on him in 2008. Probably not, but there is a chance I'll pay a teens pick for tons of upside.
As far as bidding on Prior (or Harden), a low teen bid for either is reasonable for these arms that can bolster your pitching staff or kill your fantasy $ budget. My determination to pull the trigger on these guys will be based on what my team/pitching staff looks like, what my budget is when their names are called, and what my gut feeling is at the time.