pat189 wrote:What numbers do you think Upton will put up? IMO there is no way he bats above .290, I'm saying .270ish and around 30/30 numbers. He could easily steal 40 if he is healthy and they let him run wild.
I like Upton quite a bit. He's in this group of 4 2nd basemen (my 2-5 ranked guys) who I think will be excellent power/speed combo players at 2B. I see the four of them like this:
BJ Upton .290/28/95, 100 R, 30 SB
I don't forsee Upton's average dropping a whole lot. What do you base that on? He saw a pretty impressive 4.1 pitches/plate appearance last year (2nd among 2nd basemen, only Roberts was better at 4.2), and had 65 walks en route to a .386 OBP. This shows very solid plate patience from a guy who 22 years old. He struck out a lot, and I'll give you that his BABIP was high (.393) and is likely due to regress, but it was his selectivity that allowed him to hit for high average. I would not be surprised to see it again.
Brandon Phillips .278/27/85, 95 R, 30 SB
Rickie Weeks .275/25/65, 120 R, 35 SB
Ian Kinsler .285/23/70, 105 R, 27 SB (another guy with great plate patience, plus he doesn't K)
Those are 4 second basemen I would love to have this year if I don't end up with Utley.