hot4tx wrote:A couple questions - do you guys think Utley is a #3 pick? I mean I like the guy a lot and argued for him being mid-late 1st rounder last year, but is this a little high for him or do his numbers and position really put him up there? Thoughts?
Also there are 3 SSs in the first 7 picks and then not another one until the late 4th/early 5th. Do the people getting Hanley/Reyes/Rollins really get enough advantage over the guys getting Tulo and Jeter to justify the difference between early 1st and late 4th/early 5th? Does the fact that if you pick one of those top SS there are two others about equal hurt or help their value? In other words does having 3 SSs that high take away from positional advantage (because you spend a top pick but don't get positional advantage over 2 other guys in your league) or does it make it more important (because if you draft anyone else in the first there are 3 guys in your league with positional advantage over you at SS?
Hope this isn't threadjacking, those were just the first two questions that popped into my head.
Last year I really targeted Utley in the middle 1st round as was pleased with his results. This year is slightly different due to the emergence of Brandon Phillips as a legit 2nd or 3rd rounder. Add him to Roberts, Cano, Figgins, and Upton and his position is not quite as scarce as it was last year. I mean if he wasn't a 3rd pick overall last year, what has changed to make you think he is one this year? I still think he is a slam dunk first rounder, however, I do think 3rd overall is slightly reaching.
In regards to the SS position this year, I believe that you try and gain as many scarce positions early on. I would not reach for Reyes, Ramirez, and Rollins, however, if you are undecided between 2 players, taking a Han Ram over Holliday, for example, based on position scarcity is a good way to go, IMO. However, I'm not jumping on Reyes over Pujols or A-Rod. When someone is decidedly better, you have to take them.
Hope that helps.