Where do you guys see him ranking among the SS in 2008. He started off relatively slow even though everyone had high expectations. But man, has he been on a tear in the 2nd half. He's hit lights out when in the 2 hole...but does he deserve to be ranked among the top SS for next year.
I think I still like Guillen over Tulo. Plus, you also forgot Michael Young who I also think will be drafted before Tulo. By season's end, Young will have his 200 hits (again) and be batting .320.
But Tulo will probably be drafted in top 10 rounds (7-9?).
Edit: After looking at Young's numbers and seeing that he only has 8 HR's this year, I'd probably take Tulo>Young. But I still think Young may be drafted first by the masses.
Tulo should outperform Jeter and have comparable numbers to Guillen. Guillen has a very good chance at another 20/100 season while hitting for a higher average because he'll be a shortstop eligible player who is actually playing first base, taking tons of pressure off of his knees and allowing him to reproduce his numbers from this season. If he actually stayed at shortstop, which I can't imagine happening, then Tulo will definitely outperform Guillen.
I don't know about Guillen. He has been hitting worse every month since June, and as a guy where the 320+ avg carries a lot of his value this trend has me thinking Tulo>Guillen.
June .338 July .284 August .274 Sept .205 with 0 HR, 2 Runs, 4 RBI, 0 SB. Thats in 13 games.
Hasn't homered since August 27th. Hasn't even attempted to steal a base since August 22. 32 years old with an injury history and declining numbers? Give me Tulo all day.
rjforlife wrote:I don't know about Guillen. He has been hitting worse every month since June, and as a guy where the 320+ avg carries a lot of his value this trend has me thinking Tulo>Guillen.
June .338 July .284 August .274 Sept .205 with 0 HR, 2 Runs, 4 RBI, 0 SB. Thats in 13 games.
Hasn't homered since August 27th. Hasn't even attempted to steal a base since August 22. 32 years old with an injury history and declining numbers? Give me Tulo all day.
Guillen's wearing down right now because he's still playing alot of shortstop on his bad knees. I think it's reasonable to assume that playing shortstop, the most physically exhausting position, all season until recently wore him down and affected his offensive output down the stretch. Guillen has a great chance at reproducing this season's numbers because a formerly full time shortstop becoming a full time first baseman is like a becoming a full time DH for anyone else, look at Nomar in 2006 when he played 1b full time. Besides, his move to first base in 2008 should also lift alot of stress because he won't be a butcher on the field anymore.
You have to admit those are some pretty shocking splits for Guillen. He has been horrible the second half. I don't believe that switching positions, which you ASSUME he will do, will keep him from this horrible slide again. Tulo has been improving all season and with the learning curve that high, big things are coming. Overall, the numbers are very similar and even IF Guillen repeats, I would be fairly surprised if Tulo didnt at least improve somewhat on his numbers, if not much better based on his age/splits.