He is making a really ridiculous case to be ranked very high next season. There flashes in the pan but this season has been ridiculous. 42 HR 116 RBI. Those are crazy good numbers. No speed to speak of but with 94 runs and a respectable .278 average makes him awfully tempting. So the question remains....where does he rank next season?
1. Pujols 2. Fielder 3. Howard 4. Ortiz
Those 4 are pretty locked into the top 4 spots, however you have it. Then you have
Morneau Pena Berkman Tex D. Lee Hafner A. Gonzalez
to be honest I have it like this:
5. Morneau 6. Tex 7. Pena 8. Berkman 9. Hafner 10. A. Gonzalez 11. D. Lee
I know Berkman and Hafner have solid track records, but Hafner has been awful this season and Berkman doesn't exactly inspire confidence. I'd rather take a shot on Pena, where if he even comes close to repeating he beats those guys, and even if he falters somewhat, it seems unlikely that he falls off the planet totally.
Anyone else with a 1-11 ranking id love to see where and if Pena fits in.
1. Pujols 2. Howard 3. Fielder 4. Morneau 5. Hafner (I think he'll bounce back...and the Indians lineup doesn't hurt.) 6. Ortiz (I've heard he needs off-season knee surgery and I'm not sure how he will hold up. If healthy he is easily 2/3 spots higher.) 7. Pena 8. Tex 9. Berkman 10. Adr. Gon. 11. D. Lee 12. Laroche 13. Helton
Pena is getting alot of love....Its warrented for this year, sure, but to bank on him in the future is waayyy to scary for me to do. This guy was nothing more than a parttime .250 hitter until his career year this year. This guys floor is sooo much lower than any of the other top 10 1B.... there is no way I'll put him in my top 10. Thats just me though, i guess.
I'd much rather have Tex over Morneau and Hafner next season. As an owner of all 3 this season, Hafner was cancerous all season, Morneau completely vanished in the second half and has become worse than Hafner, whereas Tex has been huge since going to Atlanta because he's seeing alot more balls to hit now compared to Texas, when pitchers wisely threw him crap because instead of Francoeur and McCann hitting after him, he had Sammy Sosa and Marlon Byrd. Byrd has no power and Sosa is all or nothing. Tex has been a slow starter in the first half for the past 2 seasons but he's still a reliable .290/30/100 bare minimum and the production won't tail off when it matters and who knows, maybe that will change now that he's hitting in the heart of a competitive lineup and not the last quality hitter until it returns to the top of the order.
I'd rank them 5. Tex 6. Morneau 7. Berkman 8. Hafner. Hafner has been completely enigmatic because he still draws tons of walks like last season and guys like Sizemore and Asdrubal Cabrera hitting in front of him, he just doesn't produce anything and his production has remained at the same level all season. Morneau's RBI success is completely dependent upon Mauer's health because they have a revolving door of crap at the top of the order. Tex plays the third best offense in the NL, behind two teams that play in bandboxes (Philadelphia and Colorado).
Haven't done list but top 10 1B for Pena seems really high. Even if he does crack my top 10, I seriously doubt I will end up with him unless he falls much lower than where I think he will be picked (top 100 probably).
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin