So Braun Just played his 81st Game... - Fantasy Baseball Cafe 2015 Fantasy Baseball Cafe
100% Deposit Bonus for Cafe Members!

Return to Baseball Leftovers

So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Moderator: Baseball Moderators

So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Postby abrunn11 » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:38 am

and his numbers are mind-boggling. Averaged out over 162 games his number would be;

G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
161 656 121 218 38 10 48 126 48 150 22 8 .332 . 377 .640 1.017

A couple of things pop out at me.

1. These are MVP numbers.
2. The terrible K/BB rate
3. His .371 BABIP in a tad worrisome.

Looking into next year, I would rank him 3B3 behind AROD and Cabrerra. This would warrant an ADP between 1.10 - 2.05 (basing this on where Wright went this year). Obviuosly, not a lot of people in here are going to spend a first round pick on him, and rightfully so. But I could easily see my self drafting him 2.12 - 3.05 (12 team league). This is "about" where Hanley Ramirez went this year and where Jose Reyes went in 2006.

The bottom line is that he is having a rookie (1/2) season like we have not seen in a long time, if ever, and he is doing it at a fairly scarce position.
Image
abrunn11
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar

Posts: 453
Joined: 24 Jun 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball

Re: So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Postby Philliebuster » Sun Aug 26, 2007 11:07 am

Thats the problem if you want to call it that. I couldn't pick him that early, because my philosophy is to go with more of a sure thing that early. But his stats definitely will warrant an early pick. Somebody will surely grab him early than I am willing to...which I would value probably around a late 3rd, early 4th round pick in a 12 teamer.
Philliebuster
Major League Manager
Major League Manager

User avatar

Posts: 1238
Joined: 28 Mar 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: New Jersey

Re: So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Postby joshheines » Sun Aug 26, 2007 1:22 pm

Ryan Braun will be the most overdrafted player in the 2008 draft. Mark it down. The sample size is too small. He never did this in the minors. His minor numbers are more in accord with his August numbers, but with less power. Braun will hit .290-.300 with 30-35 HR and 90-100 runs and RBI along with 10-15 SB. That's good, but probably not the second round.
It's easy, fun, and 100% safe!
joshheines
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar
Mock(ing) Drafter
Posts: 535
Joined: 29 Sep 2003
Home Cafe: Baseball

Re: So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Postby sandman042 » Sun Aug 26, 2007 1:42 pm

same could had been said about pujols when he first came up. i think he never played higher than A ball ( correct me if im wrong) and the rest is history. braun is legit.. i would rank him only after arod,miggy,wright . he is better than aramis.
sandman042
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor


Posts: 722
Joined: 24 Apr 2007
Home Cafe: Baseball

Re: So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Postby Diamond Miners » Sun Aug 26, 2007 1:43 pm

joshheines wrote:Ryan Braun will be the most overdrafted player in the 2008 draft. Mark it down. The sample size is too small. He never did this in the minors. His minor numbers are more in accord with his August numbers, but with less power.


Couldn't agree more!
Good luck, feel free to PM me
DM

Minor League forum
Diamond Miners
Major League Manager
Major League Manager

User avatar

Posts: 1195
Joined: 24 Jan 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: The Pitcher's Mound

Re: So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Postby berkguyyy » Sun Aug 26, 2007 2:56 pm

joshheines wrote:Ryan Braun will be the most overdrafted player in the 2008 draft. Mark it down. The sample size is too small. He never did this in the minors. His minor numbers are more in accord with his August numbers, but with less power. Braun will hit .290-.300 with 30-35 HR and 90-100 runs and RBI along with 10-15 SB. That's good, but probably not the second round.


Actually if you consider Braun to have a good chance of getting those numbers, then those stats actually do make him a second round pick. But I'm always leery of the slump that comes after the first season so I'm staying away from Braun until the fifth round.
berkguyyy
Softball Supervisor
Softball Supervisor


Posts: 65
Joined: 5 Mar 2007
Home Cafe: Baseball

Re: So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Postby George_Foreman » Sun Aug 26, 2007 3:01 pm

Diamond Miners wrote:
joshheines wrote:Ryan Braun will be the most overdrafted player in the 2008 draft. Mark it down. The sample size is too small. He never did this in the minors. His minor numbers are more in accord with his August numbers, but with less power.


Couldn't agree more!

Agreed.

He'll hit for power, but he's as likely to hit .250 as .300, IMO.
"I don't buy everything I read,
I havn't even read everything I've bought"

"I find it more comforting to believe that this [life] isn't simply a test."
George_Foreman
General Manager
General Manager

User avatar

Posts: 4351
Joined: 16 Apr 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: at Morimoto's, eating $50 worth of sushi

Re: So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Postby George_Foreman » Sun Aug 26, 2007 3:07 pm

abrunn11 wrote:The bottom line is that he is having a rookie (1/2) season like we have not seen in a long time, if ever, and he is doing it at a fairly scarce position.
Well, this is true if you consider 2 years to be a long time. :-D

Jeff Francoeur's 2005 line was very similar to this, albeit less spectacular and only over 70 games. His HR pace was closer to 40 and his K/BB was a good bit worse, but the essentials are similar.
"I don't buy everything I read,
I havn't even read everything I've bought"

"I find it more comforting to believe that this [life] isn't simply a test."
George_Foreman
General Manager
General Manager

User avatar

Posts: 4351
Joined: 16 Apr 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: at Morimoto's, eating $50 worth of sushi

Re: So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Postby Whisp » Sun Aug 26, 2007 3:58 pm

arod>braun>mig cabrera>aramis>chipper>scott brosius>etc.>david wright
C-MMontero/Iannetta 1B-Hosmer 2B-Kendrick 3B-MiCabrera/Rolen SS-Rollins
CI-IDavis MI-RRoberts OF-Bruce/Crisp/Hunter/Cain/Rios
SP-Sabathia/ClLee/Wainwright/Pineda/Hellickson/JSantana
RP-Putz/Santiago/Rodney/Lidge/Clippard
Whisp
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar

Posts: 776
Joined: 13 May 2007
Home Cafe: Baseball

Re: So Braun Just played his 81st Game...

Postby pokerplaya » Sun Aug 26, 2007 4:18 pm

Whisp wrote:arod>braun>mig cabrera>aramis>chipper>scott brosius>etc.>david wright


Well said. :-b
pokerplaya
Kitchen Staff
Kitchen Staff

User avatar
CafeholicFantasy ExpertCafe WriterCafe RankerMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeCafe MusketeerPick 3 Weekly WinnerLucky Ladders Weekly Winner
Posts: 12812
(Past Year: 9)
Joined: 18 May 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball

Next

Return to Baseball Leftovers

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 15 guests

Forums Articles & Tips Sleepers Rankings Leagues


Get Ready...
The 2015 MLB season starts in 6:33 hours
(and 95 days)

  • Fantasy Baseball
  • Article Submissions
  • Privacy Statement
  • Site Survey 
  • Contact