does anyone know what jake peavy has done this year to turn things around. His numbers last year were not good. this year he seems to be striking out more and have a great era. Has he added a pitch, done somethign different with his pitches? any ideas why he has turned things around so greatly?
Take it for what it's worth - I was watching the SD game last night and the announcer was saying that the biggest difference between Peavy this year and last was health.
That he's been battling nagging injuries for the last few seasons etc.
I don't think he really turned things around so much as reverted back to the norm. He's always been a great pitcher....last year was a mix of bad luck, off year, and some injuries. This year, like '04 and '05, is the norm. Keep in mind also that he is still just 26 years old......oh and last year was still a very good year.....just not the norm for him.
Actually, last year the statistics indicate his poor season was an aberration. Given his still-great K rate (he had 200+ on the year) he should have given up fewer hits w/ a normal BABIP. Also, he didn't walk too many, so his WHIP should have been low and his ERA should have been somewhere in the 3.00-3.50 range.
That being said, he's still about a run better than that this year, so why? The biggest statistical reason is the fact that he's given up like 6 homers all year, which is incredible and hard to believe. Most pitchers give up a homer every 9 innings or so, for about 20-25 on the year. That's par for the course. Peavy last year gave up 20-something, so he wasn't particularly good or bad in that area.
Considering he has great stuff, I could see him giving up less than the normal amount of homers, but 6 all year is really almost as much an aberration as his poor performance last year.
I'd expect him to stabilize somewhere in the range of 18 homers allowed next year over 200+ innings, and for him to sit around a 2.75 ERA.
To answer the actual question, Peavy has given Greg Maddux a lot of credit for his turn-around. That could just be him talking, but he claims that Maddux has helped him out w/ the mental part of the game. So there it is. Additional evidence for that point might be Chris Young's outstanding performance.
masterpinky0509 wrote:Actually, last year the statistics indicate his poor season was an aberration. Given his still-great K rate (he had 200+ on the year) he should have given up fewer hits w/ a normal BABIP. Also, he didn't walk too many, so his WHIP should have been low and his ERA should have been somewhere in the 3.00-3.50 range.
That being said, he's still about a run better than that this year, so why? The biggest statistical reason is the fact that he's given up like 6 homers all year, which is incredible and hard to believe. Most pitchers give up a homer every 9 innings or so, for about 20-25 on the year. That's par for the course. Peavy last year gave up 20-something, so he wasn't particularly good or bad in that area.
Considering he has great stuff, I could see him giving up less than the normal amount of homers, but 6 all year is really almost as much an aberration as his poor performance last year.
I'd expect him to stabilize somewhere in the range of 18 homers allowed next year over 200+ innings, and for him to sit around a 2.75 ERA.
This.
Basically, Peavy was unlucky last year and is lucky this year. It just goes to show you how much ERA, WHIP, and Wins can fluctuate year to year from essentially the same pitcher. A lot of people will avoid drafting pitchers high because of these fluctuations but in the long run, a staff full of Peavys is going to way outperform a staff full of Pennys, so the cost of elite pitchers is justified.
"And so he spoke, and so he spoke, that lord of Castamere. But now the rains weep o'er his hall, with no one there to hear." - The Rains of Castamere
During this ridiculous HR era we are in, thats ridiculously impressive, and if you want to learn, you learn from the best. I can't think of any modern pitcher who sustained such a low HR rate for so many years.(Pedro/clemens/johnson all had similar years once or maybe twice at most)
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by dougbies » Thu Aug 23, 2007 9:22 am 
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