I remember preseason how hyped up Gordon was. People were predicting .300 30/15 type season from him. Now we have Braun who is tearing the cover off the ball. There is a lot of hype for Braun for sure. However, if he finishes the season strong, then it will be very difficult to not take him top 25-30. He will be worth it.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin
Considering he has roughly an 80% contact rate in the minors, and a similar one this year, I'd say that we should temper our expectations on him. His K:BB ratio is about 3:1, which is just not good. And his power is not otherworldly, despite what his stats say today.
I'm going to guess that next year he'll have an average around .290, with about 25 homers (yes, the entire year), 90 RBI and 100 R w/ about 20-25 SB. In fact, the SB will be where most of his value comes from. Now that being said, those kind of stats are definitely good enough to consider in the 3rd-4th rounds of most drafts, when coupled with his upside for significantly more stats.
We do have to temper the hype on him, however. He's not the 2nd coming of Albert Pujols, who had light-tower power combined with ludicrous plate discipline/coverage. That being said, he could very well be the 2nd coming of David Wright, since his tools are very similar. One should note that Wright looks more like a 25 homer guy right now than a guy who'll put up 35 year after year.
common strategy is to tell everyone to curb their enthusiasm toward braun, and then quicklysnatchhimup with the #5 overall pick next year. laughing at the first four teams!
I said it before he even came up but Braun is the best hitting prospect to be called up this season. His AVG will dip down as thats partially luck driven but it will not surprise me if he's the best hitter in that lineup next season and thats with Fielder being a top 5 hitter in the NL already.
masterpinky0509 wrote:Considering he has roughly an 80% contact rate in the minors, and a similar one this year, I'd say that we should temper our expectations on him. His K:BB ratio is about 3:1, which is just not good. And his power is not otherworldly, despite what his stats say today.
I'm going to guess that next year he'll have an average around .290, with about 25 homers (yes, the entire year), 90 RBI and 100 R w/ about 20-25 SB. In fact, the SB will be where most of his value comes from. Now that being said, those kind of stats are definitely good enough to consider in the 3rd-4th rounds of most drafts, when coupled with his upside for significantly more stats.
We do have to temper the hype on him, however. He's not the 2nd coming of Albert Pujols, who had light-tower power combined with ludicrous plate discipline/coverage. That being said, he could very well be the 2nd coming of David Wright, since his tools are very similar. One should note that Wright looks more like a 25 homer guy right now than a guy who'll put up 35 year after year.
The one thing I'd like to point out is your comment on his power; it is close to otherworldly. I'd say if you ranked the top five RH by power, he would be in there. He's ridiculously strong as is, but his bat speed is INSANE. Pujols, ARod, MigCab ... those are the four guys I would say have better power than Braun from the right side. MAYBE Sheffield. But Braun has a ridiculous, ridiculous amount of power. I'm not sure what makes you say he doesn't have ludicrous power, but that is simply untrue.
C: Pierzynski 1B: Pujols 2B: Altuve 3B: Miggy SS: HanRam OF (x3): CarGo, M. Bourn, D. Jennings UTIL (x2): E. Encarnacion, C. Hart BN: Cuddyer, C. Ross, J. Montero
does anyone just snicker to themselves whenever they see the milwaukee box scores and/or stat tracker every night. i cant help but chuckle at how great he is.
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by Yoda » Sat Aug 11, 2007 3:40 pm 
He sure is making it tough to control the hype...
