Snakes Gould wrote: pokerplaya wrote:
Snakes Gould wrote:i just dont really see wright's power potential. i dont ever see him hitting 40. sure he could go 30/30 which is awesome, and im not saying i would take braun over him. id more likely take wright over braun for next season RIGHT now. but if braun closes the season out like this, i may change my mind.
I just don't see how we can possibly know anyone's potential at age 24.
how cant you? dont we assume we know the potential of 19 year year justin upton? or the potential for a 22 year old felix hernandez?
sure wright could hit 40 in an upcoming season and it wouldnt shock or surprise anyone. but you need to take an educated guess about his potential and my own is that he isnt a 40 hr type hitter.
I think the whole fun part about fantasy baseball is projecting guys like Braun. The reason why I prefer keeper formats is because you attempt to do this over a longer period of time. So you are not just collecting guys who are great right now but for the long term as well.
I think Braun is pretty projectable. When you look at his trend by adding up his college numbers which would be equivalent to A ball, MiLB and MLB, he looks like a .290+, 35 HR, 20 SB type hitter. Obviously it is safe to take Wright for next year since we have seen him put up these numbers at this level for several years now but I don't think it would be wrong to take Braun especially in a keeper league.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin