SmartassBoiler wrote:I'm loving his current hot streak, but there's no way he ends the season with 40 HR. Only elite power hitters put together consecutive 10 HR months, and Matsui is not that.
I think expecting 8-10 over the next two months for a total of around 30 is far more realistic.
The thing is though that he was an elite power hitter in Japan. Now I know that the MLB is better than Japanese leagues, but there is no precedent of a power hitter like Matsui coming over from Japan. No one knows how long it would take for one to develop their power in the US. Just basing your predictions on his other three full seasons isn't enough to sell me that his power is topping out at 30, but maybe it is. My main point is that there is a valid argument that no one knows if Matsui has hit his power ceiling or not, and it is at least believable that he could hit 40 hr.