CrashOverrid3 wrote:Its just a bad game dont overreact
It's just two really bad games, don't overreact.courtesy of Samara Pearlstein
"In the first inning, Bondo has a 12.00 ERA, as opposed to his 4.50 ERA overall. Of the 68 earned runs he’s given up so far this season, 28 have been in the first inning. That’s 41% of all the runs he’s given up this year. FORTY-ONE PERCENT.
If you think about the fact that a game is 9 innings, and that a starter could reasonably be expected to go 6-7 innings, you SHOULD have your starters averaging between 15-20% of their total runs given up per inning*. To compare, of the 52 earned runs Verlander has given up this season, 8 were in the first inning (15%). Of the 60 earned runs that Nate has given up, 15 were in the first inning (25%). Kenny had given up 4 first-inning earned runs out of 19 overall (21%).
Fifteen percent. Twenty-five percent. Twenty-one percent. Forty-one percent. One of these things is nnnoooottt like the others…
Approximately 80-85% of a pitcher’s earned runs should come after the first inning. Bondo is giving up 59% of his runs after the first inning.
Basically, Jeremy Bonderman’s first innings make him a statistical freak, a veritable monster, and not in an impressive eating-the-enemy kind of way. THIS IS NOT OK. Jeremy Bonderman is a GOOD PITCHER, catdammit, we KNOW this, and I AM NOT OK WITH THIS STATISTICAL FREAKERY."
"...So, new suggestion for Bondo: throw an inning before the game. I’m serious. Get some Tigers batters in there and simulate a freakin’ first inning as closely to The Real Thing as they can. Make him throw it, for dead serious real, not just as a series of warmup tosses. I’m aware that this would cut his ability to work in the actual game down by an inning, but I would rather have 6 innings of Bondo throwing 2-run ball and three innings of bullpen than 7 innings of Bondo throwing 6-run ball and two innings of bullpen."full article...