bsblallstr wrote:.250, he will hit at least .290, probably around .310, have about 10 HR, 50 RBI, 100+Runs, and more than 60 SB, it cracks me up everyone think he will be just under 62, like 58 is his high, he will be over 62, the guy stole like 40 something bases last year in the second half, and he will get on base more this year, very good selection for a fantasy team.
Is this guy his dad, or his brother????
he took 26 walks and struck out over 100 times and was on base .309 percent of the time (Roger Cedeno was on base more!!!!!)
yes he was a rookie, and should get better but will not be a .281 hitter again until he takes the occasional pitch
He may well get better but it won't be this year. I wouldn't touch a guy with a .309 OBP in his first full year. Expect a sophomore slump in all categories except maybe HR's. He might hit 6 this year.
I totally agree, everyone is saying his .309 OBP will magically get better in his second season. Sophmore slump baby! I think it may stay the same or get worse. And i love the ppl who come in here talking like they have seen the future and know what is gunna happen. Saying that he WILL get better and all that BS. You have no clue. He could be just another bust. Yes his speed will most likely prevent that, but I honestly agree with Brendo. I don't see more than about .265 this season.
I don't think I have overestimated..If he improves his game the power should come..Even if he doesn't improve his game...if he wants to hit Hr's he'll do it...He can become a Mike Cameron Type.
...It may not arrive for a few years..but his speed should slow down when it does, or if it does come w/ him becoming more of a professional hitter.
You would also have to realize when/if the big money comes in he'll be less likely to run as frequently....It's pretty well documented that he wants to hit for power....And it's all about the approach he wants to take
sophomore slump? well you know he did play in the majors before last year (about 260 AB's) so it's only sophomore if you mean full seasons. and even then in this last year he improved on his walk to strikeout ratio and OBP.
2002: 259 AB 9 BB 41 SO .259 AVG. .290 OBP
2003: 630 AB 26 BB 100 SO .290 AVG. .309 OBP
so as you see he has improved in every CAT. in his second year. not to mention his batting avg. improved in the 2nd half of the season. now i'm not saying he couldn't slump, there is always that possibility w/ youngsters in general. but i think it's a bit hasty to say he WILL do bad this year.